UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Menne vs Herman

1,767

CageRank

WINNER
Herman

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
78% chance Herman
WILL WIN

1,990

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ed Herman
Much stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.5 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.0 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.6 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly longer reach 191 cm vs 175 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better striker 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 188 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% taller
Younger 37 years vs 44 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.8 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Advantages for Dave Menne
Much better submission defense 10.0 vs 8.8 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Herman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Menne’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ed
Herman
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Herman Menne
Significant Strikes76
Herman's average striking offense is matched by Menne's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Herman's average takedown offense is matched by Menne's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Herman is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Herman has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Herman is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Menne on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Herman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dave
Menne
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Menne Herman
Significant Strikes59
Menne's average striking offense is matched by Herman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Menne's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Herman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Menne is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Menne is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Menne is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Herman 8.5
fighter Menne 8.1
Great striking by Herman
2 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
71 strikes Apr 18, 2009 vs Loiseau
43 strikes Nov 17, 2007 vs Doerksen

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Herman 8.5
fighter Menne 7.5
Great takedowns by Herman
1 takedown Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
5 takedowns Apr 18, 2009 vs Loiseau
2 takedowns Nov 17, 2007 vs Doerksen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Herman 7.3
fighter Menne 6.6
Great knockouts by Herman
Round 1 Jun 04, 2011 vs Credeur
Round 3 Nov 17, 2007 vs Doerksen
Round 1 Jul 23, 2005 vs Menne

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Herman 8.1
fighter Menne 7.6
Great submissions by Herman
Round 2 Feb 04, 2012 vs Starks
Round 1 Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
Round 2 Aug 28, 2004 vs Ebersole

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Herman 8.1
fighter Menne 7.7
Fast finishes by Herman
255 seconds Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
48 seconds Jun 04, 2011 vs Credeur
639 seconds Nov 17, 2007 vs Doerksen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR1 KO
1,8511,909
1,8091,951
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Herman
legend Menne
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus