UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Story vs Saffiedine

1,994

CageRank

WINNER
Saffiedine

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
63% chance Saffiedine
WILL WIN

2,085

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tarec Saffiedine
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Younger 31 years vs 33 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Rick Story
Much stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 7.7 More than 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier hands 7.4 vs 6.7 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission offense 7.5 vs 7.1 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Stronger jaw 9.5 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Longer reach 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Saffiedine on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Story’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tarec
Saffiedine
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Saffiedine Story
Significant Strikes70
Saffiedine's good striking offense is matched by Story's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Saffiedine's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Story's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Saffiedine is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Saffiedine is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Saffiedine has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Story on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Saffiedine’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rick
Story
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Story Saffiedine
Significant Strikes75
Story's good striking offense may be a factor against Saffiedine's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Story's excellent takedown offense will dominate Saffiedine's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Story is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Story is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Story has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Saffiedine 8.9
fighter Story 8.8
Great striking by Saffiedine
116 strikes Jan 12, 2013 vs Marquardt
67 strikes Aug 18, 2012 vs Bowling
46 strikes Jan 07, 2012 vs Stinson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Saffiedine 7.7
fighter Story 9.2
Great takedowns by Story
2 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Ebersole
1 takedown Mar 16, 2013 vs Mulhern
4 takedowns May 28, 2011 vs Alves

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Saffiedine 6.7
fighter Story 7.4
Great knockouts by Story
Round 1 Mar 16, 2013 vs Mulhern
Round 2 Aug 07, 2010 vs Hazelett
Round 2 Jan 12, 2008 vs Paul

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Saffiedine 7.1
fighter Story 7.5
Great submissions by Story
Round 2 Sep 19, 2009 vs Foster
Round 1 Sep 06, 2008 vs Melendez
Round 1 Feb 23, 2008 vs Dodge

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Saffiedine 7.4
fighter Story 7.8
Fast finishes by Story
185 seconds Mar 16, 2013 vs Mulhern
375 seconds Aug 07, 2010 vs Hazelett
369 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Foster
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 29, 2016UFC Fight Night 88
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Saffiedine
legend Story
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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