UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Jardine vs Ferguson

1,712

CageRank

WINNER
Ferguson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
83% chance Ferguson
WILL WIN

1,986

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tony Ferguson
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.5 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better takedown defense 8.9 vs 7.8 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better striker 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Longer reach 193 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 8.5 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Slightly stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Advantages for Brock Jardine
Better submission offense 7.5 vs 7.2 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Ferguson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jardine’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tony
Ferguson
In 8:22, how much damage will he do? Ferguson Jardine
Significant Strikes43
Ferguson's good striking offense may be a factor against Jardine's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 75 Significant Strikes in 8:22
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Ferguson's average takedown offense may be a factor against Jardine's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:22
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ferguson has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Ferguson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Ferguson is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Jardine on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ferguson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brock
Jardine
In 8:22, how much damage will he do? Jardine Ferguson
Significant Strikes32
Jardine's average striking offense is matched by Ferguson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 75 Significant Strikes in 8:22
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Jardine's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Ferguson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:22
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jardine is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jardine is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jardine is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Ferguson 8.6
fighter Jardine 8.1
Great striking by Ferguson
5 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Rio
61 strikes Dec 03, 2011 vs Edwards
31 strikes Sep 24, 2011 vs Riley

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Ferguson 8.1
fighter Jardine 8.0
Great takedowns by Ferguson
1 takedown Dec 03, 2011 vs Edwards
2 takedowns Jun 04, 2011 vs Nijem

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ferguson 8.8
fighter Jardine 7.5
Great knockouts by Ferguson
Round 1 Sep 24, 2011 vs Riley
Round 1 Jun 04, 2011 vs Nijem
Round 4 Sep 25, 2010 vs Jardine

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ferguson 7.2
fighter Jardine 7.5
Great submissions by Jardine
Round 1 Apr 16, 2011 vs Ranchev
Round 1 Jun 06, 2009 vs Torres
Round 2 Aug 23, 2008 vs Doss

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ferguson 8.8
fighter Jardine 8.1
Fast finishes by Ferguson
112 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Rio
300 seconds Sep 24, 2011 vs Riley
1055 seconds Sep 25, 2010 vs Jardine
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR4 KO
XR2 KO
1,7471,752
1,6981,801
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ferguson
legend Jardine
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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