UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Patt vs Boetsch

1,733

CageRank

WINNER
Boetsch

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
81% chance Boetsch
WILL WIN

1,989

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tim Boetsch
Much heavier hands 7.6 vs 6.5 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 8.8 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Longer reach 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Advantages for Michael Patt
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Boetsch on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Patt’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Boetsch
In 11:45, how much damage will he do? Boetsch Patt
Significant Strikes62
Boetsch's average striking offense is matched by Patt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 106 Significant Strikes in 11:45
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Boetsch's average takedown offense is matched by Patt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:45
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Boetsch has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Boetsch is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Boetsch is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Patt on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Boetsch’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Michael
Patt
In 11:45, how much damage will he do? Patt Boetsch
Significant Strikes49
Patt's average striking offense is matched by Boetsch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 106 Significant Strikes in 11:45
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Patt's average takedown offense is matched by Boetsch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:45
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Patt is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Patt has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Patt is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Boetsch 8.5
fighter Patt 8.3
Great striking by Boetsch
54 strikes Jul 21, 2012 vs Lombard
42 strikes Feb 26, 2012 vs Okami
60 strikes Aug 07, 2010 vs Brown

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Boetsch 8.2
fighter Patt 8.1
Great takedowns by Boetsch
4 takedowns Sep 24, 2011 vs Ring
7 takedowns May 28, 2011 vs Grove
3 takedowns Aug 07, 2010 vs Brown

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Boetsch 7.6
fighter Patt 6.5
Great knockouts by Boetsch
Round 3 Feb 26, 2012 vs Okami
Round 1 Sep 06, 2008 vs Patt
Round 1 Feb 02, 2008 vs Heath

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Boetsch 7.4
fighter Patt 8.2
Great submissions by Patt
Round 2 Aug 22, 2006 vs Ellington
Round 1 Jul 24, 2004 vs Malone
Round 1 Apr 19, 2003 vs Hood

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Boetsch 7.8
fighter Patt 8.1
Fast finishes by Patt
24 seconds Jul 24, 2004 vs Malone
36 seconds Jul 24, 2004 vs Brooks
113 seconds Apr 19, 2003 vs Hood
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 6, 2008UFC 88
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
R2 SUBX
1,8421,721
1,7751,788
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Boetsch
legend Patt
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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