UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Coleman vs Belfort

1,889

CageRank

WINNER
Belfort

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
87% chance Belfort
WILL WIN

2,220

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Vitor Belfort
Much heavier hands 10.0 vs 7.3 More than 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 10.0 vs 8.1 Around 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better submission defense 8.8 vs 7.7 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly younger 41 years vs 53 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.7 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly harder to hit 9.8 vs 9.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Advantages for Mark Coleman
Much stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 7.5 Around 25% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.9 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 10.0 vs 9.2 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Slightly longer reach 191 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Belfort on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Coleman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vitor
Belfort
In 4:26, how much damage will he do? Belfort Coleman
Significant Strikes19
Belfort's excellent striking offense is matched by Coleman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 40 Significant Strikes in 4:26
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Belfort's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Coleman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:26
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Belfort has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Belfort is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Belfort is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Coleman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Belfort’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mark
Coleman
In 4:26, how much damage will he do? Coleman Belfort
Significant Strikes8
Coleman's average striking offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 40 Significant Strikes in 4:26
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Coleman's excellent takedown offense is matched by Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:26
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Coleman is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Coleman is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Coleman is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Belfort 9.2
fighter Coleman 8.3
Great striking by Belfort
12 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
18 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
6 strikes Jan 24, 2009 vs Lindland

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Belfort 7.6
fighter Coleman 9.4
Great takedowns by Coleman
2 takedowns Feb 26, 2006 vs Rua
3 takedowns Jun 08, 2003 vs Frye
2 takedowns May 01, 2000 vs Vovchanchyn

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Coleman 7.3
Great knockouts by Belfort
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 2 Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Belfort 6.9
fighter Coleman 7.5
Great submissions by Coleman
Round 1 Oct 09, 2005 vs Voorn
Round 2 May 01, 2000 vs Vovchanchyn
Round 1 Feb 07, 1997 vs Severn

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Coleman 8.1
Fast finishes by Belfort
77 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
387 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
182 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Belfort
legend Coleman
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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