UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - MacDonald vs Doerksen

1,766

CageRank

WINNER
Doerksen

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
71% chance Doerksen
WILL WIN

1,925

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Joe Doerksen
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.2 vs 7.6 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better striker 7.8 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier hands 7.1 vs 6.6 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 186 lbs vs 184 lbs Almost the same
Stronger jaw 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.9 Almost the same
Slightly younger 40 years vs 42 years Around 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Jason MacDonald
Much longer reach 203 cm vs 188 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Better takedown defense 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Doerksen on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against MacDonald’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joe
Doerksen
In 10:30, how much damage will he do? Doerksen MacDonald
Significant Strikes34
Doerksen's below average striking offense won't be a factor against MacDonald's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:30
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Doerksen's average takedown offense is matched by MacDonald's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:30
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Doerksen is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Doerksen has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Doerksen is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
MacDonald on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Doerksen’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jason
MacDonald
In 10:30, how much damage will he do? MacDonald Doerksen
Significant Strikes26
MacDonald's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Doerksen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:30
Poor
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
MacDonald's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Doerksen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:30
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
MacDonald is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
MacDonald is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
MacDonald is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Doerksen 7.8
fighter MacDonald 7.5
Great striking by Doerksen
44 strikes May 08, 2010 vs Lawlor
9 strikes Apr 16, 2005 vs Cote
37 strikes May 14, 2004 vs Leben

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Doerksen 8.2
fighter MacDonald 7.6
Great takedowns by Doerksen
4 takedowns Apr 16, 2005 vs Cote
3 takedowns May 14, 2004 vs Leben

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Doerksen 7.1
fighter MacDonald 6.6
Great knockouts by Doerksen
Round 3 Nov 01, 2008 vs Takeuchi
Round 1 Jun 13, 2003 vs Buck
Round 1 Apr 25, 2003 vs Macias

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Doerksen 8.2
fighter MacDonald 7.9
Great submissions by Doerksen
Round 3 Apr 16, 2005 vs Cote
Round 3 Oct 23, 2004 vs Herman
Round 1 Jun 07, 2003 vs Jensen

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Doerksen 8.0
fighter MacDonald 7.9
Fast finishes by Doerksen
732 seconds Oct 23, 2004 vs Herman
36 seconds Jun 13, 2003 vs Buck
280 seconds Jun 07, 2003 vs Jensen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 19, 2008UFC 83
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
XR1 SUB
1,8881,901
1,9401,849
October 22, 2005UCW 3
team
VS
team
R4 SUBX
XR1 SUB
1,6671,988
1,7531,902
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Doerksen
legend MacDonald
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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