UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Riggs vs Diaz

1,942

CageRank

WINNER
Diaz

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
77% chance Diaz
WILL WIN

2,151

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Nick Diaz
Better striker 9.7 vs 7.9 Around 25% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much longer reach 193 cm vs 175 cm More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly stronger jaw 9.8 vs 8.6 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 8.8 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.6 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.4 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Joe Riggs
Much harder to hit 9.3 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.6 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Diaz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Riggs’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nick
Diaz
In 10:30, how much damage will he do? Diaz Riggs
Significant Strikes59
Diaz's excellent striking offense is matched by Riggs's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:30
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Diaz's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Riggs's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:30
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Diaz is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Riggs on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Diaz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joe
Riggs
In 10:30, how much damage will he do? Riggs Diaz
Significant Strikes39
Riggs's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:30
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Riggs's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:30
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Riggs has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Riggs is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Riggs is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Diaz 9.7
fighter Riggs 7.9
Great striking by Diaz
178 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Penn
44 strikes Apr 09, 2011 vs Daley
13 strikes Feb 05, 2005 vs Fickett

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Diaz 7.6
fighter Riggs 8.3
Great takedowns by Riggs
3 takedowns Feb 04, 2006 vs Diaz
1 takedown Oct 07, 2005 vs Lytle
2 takedowns Aug 21, 2004 vs Doerksen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Diaz 8.4
fighter Riggs 8.5
Great knockouts by Riggs
Round 2 Jun 22, 2012 vs Johnson
Round 2 Oct 07, 2005 vs Lytle
Round 3 Jul 19, 2003 vs Wikan

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Diaz 8.0
fighter Riggs 7.4
Great submissions by Diaz
Round 1 May 29, 2010 vs Sakurai
Round 3 Jun 06, 2009 vs Smith
Round 3 Aug 26, 2006 vs Neer

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Diaz 8.7
fighter Riggs 8.5
Fast finishes by Diaz
297 seconds Apr 09, 2011 vs Daley
278 seconds Jan 30, 2010 vs Zaromskis
280 seconds Feb 05, 2005 vs Fickett
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 4, 2006UFC 57
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
R2 KOX
1,9511,847
1,9861,812
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Diaz
legend Riggs
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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