UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Riggs vs Mein

1,942

CageRank

WINNER
Mein

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
66% chance Mein
WILL WIN

2,059

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jordan Mein
Better striker 8.7 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly longer reach 187 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 28 years vs 35 years 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier hands 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Joe Riggs
Much harder to hit 9.3 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.7 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.8 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Mein on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Riggs’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jordan
Mein
In 11:24, how much damage will he do? Mein Riggs
Significant Strikes38
Mein's good striking offense won't be a factor against Riggs's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:24
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Mein's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Riggs's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:24
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mein has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mein is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mein is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Riggs on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mein’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joe
Riggs
In 11:24, how much damage will he do? Riggs Mein
Significant Strikes41
Riggs's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Mein's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:24
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Riggs's average takedown offense is matched by Mein's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:24
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Riggs has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Riggs is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Riggs is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Mein 8.7
fighter Riggs 7.9
Great striking by Mein
29 strikes Mar 16, 2013 vs Miller
92 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Stinson
68 strikes Sep 10, 2011 vs Santos

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Mein 7.7
fighter Riggs 8.3
Great takedowns by Riggs
3 takedowns Feb 04, 2006 vs Diaz
1 takedown Oct 07, 2005 vs Lytle
2 takedowns Aug 21, 2004 vs Doerksen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Mein 8.7
fighter Riggs 8.5
Great knockouts by Mein
Round 1 Mar 16, 2013 vs Miller
Round 1 Nov 23, 2012 vs Petz
Round 2 Jan 28, 2011 vs Riggs

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Mein 6.8
fighter Riggs 7.4
Great submissions by Riggs
Round 3 Aug 13, 2010 vs Taylor
Round 1 May 19, 2005 vs Kimmons
Round 1 Dec 13, 2003 vs Timmerman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Mein 8.4
fighter Riggs 8.5
Fast finishes by Riggs
420 seconds Oct 07, 2005 vs Lytle
84 seconds May 19, 2005 vs Kimmons
519 seconds Aug 21, 2004 vs Doerksen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
R1 SUBX
1,9361,837
1,8721,901
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Mein
legend Riggs
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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