UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Arlovski vs Ngannou

2,086

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Arlovski

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
94% chance Arlovski
WILL WIN

1,612

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Andrei Arlovski
Much better submission defense 9.4 vs 7.8 More than 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much heavier hands 9.0 vs 7.3 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 7.8 More than 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 9.1 vs 7.8 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for Francis Ngannou
Significantly better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.6 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 258 lbs vs 241 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Younger 30 years vs 37 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Arlovski on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ngannou’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Andrei
Arlovski
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Arlovski has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Arlovski is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Arlovski has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Ngannou on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Arlovski’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Francis
Ngannou
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ngannou is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ngannou is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ngannou is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Arlovski 9.0
fighter Ngannou 7.4
Great knockouts by Arlovski
Round 3 Jul 19, 2008 vs Rothwell
Round 1 Oct 07, 2005 vs Buentello
Round 1 Sep 26, 2003 vs Matyushenko

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Arlovski 6.6
fighter Ngannou 7.5
Great submissions by Ngannou
Round 1 Dec 09, 2016 vs Hamilton
Round 1 Sep 20, 2014 vs Ngeleka
Round 1 Nov 30, 2013 vs Benzina

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Arlovski 8.2
fighter Ngannou 7.7
Fast finishes by Arlovski
673 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Rothwell
47 seconds Feb 05, 2005 vs Sylvia
119 seconds Sep 26, 2003 vs Matyushenko
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Arlovski
legend Ngannou
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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