UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Arlovski vs Miocic

2,086

CageRank

WINNER
Miocic

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
52% chance Miocic
WILL WIN

2,101

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Stipe Miocic
Much stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 7.2 More than 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Longer reach 203 cm vs 196 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 35 years vs 38 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Andrei Arlovski
Significantly better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly better striker 9.0 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Miocic on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Arlovski’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Stipe
Miocic
In 11:41, how much damage will he do? Miocic Arlovski
Significant Strikes59
Miocic's excellent striking offense will dominate Arlovski's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:41
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Miocic's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Arlovski's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:41
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Miocic has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Miocic is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Miocic is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Arlovski on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Miocic’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Andrei
Arlovski
In 11:41, how much damage will he do? Arlovski Miocic
Significant Strikes72
Arlovski's excellent striking offense will dominate Miocic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:41
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Arlovski's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Miocic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:41
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Arlovski has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Arlovski is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Arlovski is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Miocic 8.9
fighter Arlovski 9.0
Great striking by Arlovski
52 strikes Jul 19, 2008 vs Rothwell
2 strikes Oct 07, 2005 vs Buentello
9 strikes Sep 26, 2003 vs Matyushenko

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Miocic 8.7
fighter Arlovski 7.2
Great takedowns by Miocic
1 takedown Jan 25, 2014 vs Gonzaga
1 takedown Jun 15, 2013 vs Nelson
2 takedowns May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Miocic 9.1
fighter Arlovski 9.0
Great knockouts by Miocic
Round 2 May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario
Round 1 Feb 15, 2012 vs De Fries
Round 1 Feb 16, 2008 vs Stansbury

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Miocic 6.6
fighter Arlovski 6.6
Great submissions by Arlovski
Round 1 Feb 05, 2005 vs Sylvia
Round 1 Nov 17, 2000 vs Brink
Round 1 Apr 09, 2000 vs Tielrooy

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Miocic 8.9
fighter Arlovski 8.2
Fast finishes by Miocic
494 seconds May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario
43 seconds Feb 15, 2012 vs De Fries
567 seconds Jun 04, 2011 vs Brents
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 2, 2016UFC 195
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Miocic
legend Arlovski
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Miocic vs Velasquez
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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