UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Arlovski vs Emelianenko

2,086

CageRank

WINNER
Emelianenko

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
64% chance Emelianenko
WILL WIN

2,189

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fedor Emelianenko
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 6.6 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.8 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 8.2 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.2 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Advantages for Andrei Arlovski
A lot taller 193 cm vs 183 cm More than 5% taller
Heavier 241 lbs vs 222 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Longer reach 196 cm vs 189 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier hands 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better takedown defense 9.5 vs 9.3 Almost the same
Slightly younger 38 years vs 40 years 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Emelianenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Arlovski’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fedor
Emelianenko
In 9:47, how much damage will he do? Emelianenko Arlovski
Significant Strikes51
Emelianenko's excellent striking offense will dominate Arlovski's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:47
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Emelianenko's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Arlovski's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:47
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Emelianenko is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Arlovski on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Emelianenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Andrei
Arlovski
In 9:47, how much damage will he do? Arlovski Emelianenko
Significant Strikes34
Arlovski's excellent striking offense is matched by Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:47
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Arlovski's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:47
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Arlovski has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Arlovski is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Arlovski is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Emelianenko 9.0
fighter Arlovski 9.0
Great striking by Emelianenko
50 strikes Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
65 strikes Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
79 strikes Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.0
fighter Arlovski 7.2
Great takedowns by Emelianenko
4 takedowns Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
5 takedowns Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
1 takedown Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Emelianenko 8.5
fighter Arlovski 9.0
Great knockouts by Arlovski
Round 3 Jul 19, 2008 vs Rothwell
Round 1 Oct 07, 2005 vs Buentello
Round 1 Sep 26, 2003 vs Matyushenko

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.3
fighter Arlovski 6.6
Great submissions by Emelianenko
Round 1 Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
Round 1 Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Round 2 Oct 21, 2006 vs Coleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Emelianenko 9.5
fighter Arlovski 8.2
Fast finishes by Emelianenko
194 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
36 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
178 seconds Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR2 SUB
2,1002,311
2,0772,334
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Emelianenko
legend Arlovski
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Emelianenko vs McGregor
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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