UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Arlovski vs dos Santos

2,086

CageRank

WINNER
dos Santos

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
51% chance dos Santos
WILL WIN

2,091

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Junior dos Santos
Significantly better striker 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger takedown offense 7.7 vs 7.2 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 33 years vs 38 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.4 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.6 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Slightly heavier hands 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Advantages for Andrei Arlovski
Better takedown defense 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
dos Santos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Arlovski’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Junior
dos Santos
In 12:26, how much damage will he do? dos Santos Arlovski
Significant Strikes80
dos Santos's excellent striking offense will dominate Arlovski's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 112 Significant Strikes in 12:26
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
dos Santos's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Arlovski's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:26
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
dos Santos has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
dos Santos is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
dos Santos is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Arlovski on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against dos Santos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Andrei
Arlovski
In 12:26, how much damage will he do? Arlovski dos Santos
Significant Strikes59
Arlovski's excellent striking offense will dominate dos Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 112 Significant Strikes in 12:26
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Arlovski's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against dos Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:26
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Arlovski has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Arlovski is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Arlovski is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter dos Santos 9.6
fighter Arlovski 9.0
Great striking by dos Santos
59 strikes May 26, 2012 vs Mir
8 strikes Nov 12, 2011 vs Velasquez
70 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Filipovic

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter dos Santos 7.7
fighter Arlovski 7.2
Great takedowns by dos Santos
1 takedown May 25, 2013 vs Hunt
2 takedowns Jun 11, 2011 vs Carwin
1 takedown Aug 07, 2010 vs Nelson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter dos Santos 9.2
fighter Arlovski 9.0
Great knockouts by dos Santos
Round 2 May 26, 2012 vs Mir
Round 1 Nov 12, 2011 vs Velasquez
Round 1 Oct 25, 2008 vs Werdum

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter dos Santos 6.9
fighter Arlovski 6.6
Great submissions by dos Santos
Round 3 Sep 19, 2009 vs Filipovic
Round 1 Dec 09, 2006 vs Maiorino

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter dos Santos 8.6
fighter Arlovski 8.2
Fast finishes by dos Santos
484 seconds May 26, 2012 vs Mir
64 seconds Nov 12, 2011 vs Velasquez
81 seconds Oct 25, 2008 vs Werdum
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend dos Santos
legend Arlovski
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus