UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Arlovski vs Werdum

2,086

CageRank

WINNER
Werdum

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
65% chance Werdum
WILL WIN

2,192

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fabricio Werdum
Much better submission offense 8.5 vs 6.6 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 7.2 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly fast finishes 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 9.4 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.5 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Andrei Arlovski
Significantly heavier hands 9.0 vs 7.9 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Slightly younger 38 years vs 40 years 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Werdum on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Arlovski’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fabricio
Werdum
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Werdum Arlovski
Significant Strikes80
Werdum's excellent striking offense will dominate Arlovski's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Werdum's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Arlovski's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Werdum is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Werdum has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Werdum has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Arlovski on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Werdum’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Andrei
Arlovski
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Arlovski Werdum
Significant Strikes65
Arlovski's excellent striking offense is matched by Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Arlovski's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Arlovski has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Arlovski is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Arlovski has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Werdum 9.1
fighter Arlovski 9.0
Great striking by Werdum
32 strikes Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
31 strikes Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
1 strike Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Werdum 8.6
fighter Arlovski 7.2
Great takedowns by Werdum
1 takedown Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
3 takedowns Nov 07, 2009 vs Silva
1 takedown May 05, 2006 vs Overeem

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Werdum 7.9
fighter Arlovski 9.0
Great knockouts by Arlovski
Round 3 Jul 19, 2008 vs Rothwell
Round 1 Oct 07, 2005 vs Buentello
Round 1 Sep 26, 2003 vs Matyushenko

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Werdum 8.5
fighter Arlovski 6.6
Great submissions by Werdum
Round 2 Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
Round 1 Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Round 2 May 05, 2006 vs Overeem

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Werdum 9.0
fighter Arlovski 8.2
Fast finishes by Werdum
461 seconds Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
148 seconds Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
69 seconds Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 21, 2007UFC 70
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XR1 SUB
1,9141,938
1,9681,885
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Werdum
legend Arlovski
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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