CAGERANK PREDICTION
Who will win - Arlovski vs Werdum
Differences
What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fabricio Werdum
Much better submission offense | 8.5 | vs | 6.6 | Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win |
Much stronger takedown offense | 8.6 | vs | 7.2 | Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat |
Significantly fast finishes | 9.0 | vs | 8.2 | Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss |
Significantly harder to hit | 9.2 | vs | 8.8 | Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage |
Puts up a fight | 10.0 | vs | 9.4 | More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds |
Stronger jaw | 9.5 | vs | 9.1 | Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions |
Advantages for Andrei Arlovski
Significantly heavier hands | 9.0 | vs | 7.9 | Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders |
Slightly heavier | 247 lbs | vs | 242 lbs | Almost the same |
Werdum on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Arlovski’s defensive skills
Predictions For Fabricio Werdum |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? | Werdum | Arlovski | |
Significant Strikes80
Werdum's excellent striking offense will dominate Arlovski's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00 |
Excellent
Striking
|
vs |
Average
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns1
Werdum's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Arlovski's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00 |
Average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Werdum is unlikely to win by knockout |
Good
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
Werdum has a reasonable chance to win by submission |
Excellent
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Werdum has a reasonable chance to win by decision |
Good
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Good
Scoring ability
|
Arlovski on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Werdum’s defensive skills
Predictions For Andrei Arlovski |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? | Arlovski | Werdum | |
Significant Strikes65
Arlovski's excellent striking offense is matched by Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00 |
Excellent
Striking
|
vs |
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns0
Arlovski's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00 |
Poor
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Arlovski has a reasonable chance to win by knockout |
Excellent
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
Arlovski is unlikely to win by submission |
Below average
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Arlovski has a reasonable chance to win by decision |
Average
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Average
Scoring ability
|
OFFENSE
Who’s better on the attack?
striking
Who can land devastating blows when it matters?Great striking by Werdum
32 strikes | Jun 08, 2013 | vs Nogueira |
31 strikes | Jun 23, 2012 | vs Russow |
1 strike | Jun 26, 2010 | vs Emelianenko |
takedowns
Who's going to take it to the ground?Great takedowns by Werdum
1 takedown | Jun 08, 2013 | vs Nogueira |
3 takedowns | Nov 07, 2009 | vs Silva |
1 takedown | May 05, 2006 | vs Overeem |
knockouts
Who's better at knocking out opponents?Great knockouts by Arlovski
Round 3 | Jul 19, 2008 | vs Rothwell |
Round 1 | Oct 07, 2005 | vs Buentello |
Round 1 | Sep 26, 2003 | vs Matyushenko |
submissions
Who can finish it on the ground?Great submissions by Werdum
Round 2 | Jun 08, 2013 | vs Nogueira |
Round 1 | Jun 26, 2010 | vs Emelianenko |
Round 2 | May 05, 2006 | vs Overeem |
Fast finishes
Who can end the fight faster? Fast finishes by Werdum
461 seconds | Jun 08, 2013 | vs Nogueira |
148 seconds | Jun 23, 2012 | vs Russow |
69 seconds | Jun 26, 2010 | vs Emelianenko |
Fight History
Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
Cage Rank Over Time
See how Cage Rank changes with each fight


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Comments
Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?