Andrei Arlovski The Pit Bull 27-17

Weight 247 lbs
Height 6' 4"
Reach 77"
Age 39

Fabricio Werdum 23-8-1 Vai Cavalo

242 lbs
6' 4"
77"
41

CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Arlovski vs Werdum

CageRank

65% chance Werdum
WILL WIN

CageRank

WINNER

Differences What advantages does each fighter have?

Advantages for Fabricio Werdum

Much better submission offense	8.5	vs	6.6	Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense	8.6	vs	7.2	Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly fast finishes	9.0	vs	8.2	Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly harder to hit	9.2	vs	8.8	Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight	10.0	vs	9.4	More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw	9.5	vs	9.1	Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions

Advantages for Andrei Arlovski

Significantly heavier hands	9.0	vs	7.9	Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Slightly heavier	247 lbs	vs	242 lbs	Almost the same
Slightly younger	39 years	vs	41 years	Around 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon

Werdum on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Arlovski’s defensive skills

Predictions For Fabricio Werdum
In 15:00, how much damage will he do?	Werdum		Arlovski
Significant Strikes80 Werdum's excellent striking offense will dominate Arlovski's defense Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00	Excellent Striking	vs	Average Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1 Werdum's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Arlovski's defense Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00	Average Takedown ability	vs	Excellent Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Werdum is unlikely to win by knockout	Good Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Werdum has a reasonable chance to win by submission	Excellent Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Werdum has a reasonable chance to win by decision	Good Scoring ability	vs	Good Scoring ability

Arlovski on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Werdum’s defensive skills

Predictions For Andrei Arlovski
In 15:00, how much damage will he do?	Arlovski		Werdum
Significant Strikes65 Arlovski's excellent striking offense is matched by Werdum's defense Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00	Excellent Striking	vs	Excellent Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0 Arlovski's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Werdum's defense Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00	Poor Takedown ability	vs	Excellent Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Arlovski has a reasonable chance to win by knockout	Excellent Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Arlovski is unlikely to win by submission	Below average Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Arlovski has a reasonable chance to win by decision	Average Scoring ability	vs	Average Scoring ability