UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Arlovski vs Sylvia

2,086

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Arlovski

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
85% chance Arlovski
WILL WIN

1,787

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Andrei Arlovski
Significantly heavier hands 9.0 vs 7.8 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better takedown defense 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Younger 39 years vs 44 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 6.6 vs 6.4 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Tim Sylvia
A lot taller 203 cm vs 193 cm More than 5% taller
Heavier 264 lbs vs 247 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Longer reach 203 cm vs 196 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Slightly stronger takedown offense 7.3 vs 7.2 Almost the same
Arlovski on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sylvia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Andrei
Arlovski
In 12:06, how much damage will he do? Arlovski Sylvia
Significant Strikes73
Arlovski's excellent striking offense will dominate Sylvia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 109 Significant Strikes in 12:06
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Arlovski's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Sylvia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:06
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Arlovski has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Arlovski is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Arlovski is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Sylvia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Arlovski’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Sylvia
In 12:06, how much damage will he do? Sylvia Arlovski
Significant Strikes57
Sylvia's good striking offense may be a factor against Arlovski's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 109 Significant Strikes in 12:06
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Sylvia's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Arlovski's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:06
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sylvia is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sylvia is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sylvia is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Arlovski 9.0
fighter Sylvia 8.8
Great striking by Arlovski
52 strikes Jul 19, 2008 vs Rothwell
2 strikes Oct 07, 2005 vs Buentello
9 strikes Sep 26, 2003 vs Matyushenko

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Arlovski 9.0
fighter Sylvia 7.8
Great knockouts by Arlovski
Round 3 Jul 19, 2008 vs Rothwell
Round 1 Oct 07, 2005 vs Buentello
Round 1 Sep 26, 2003 vs Matyushenko

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Arlovski 6.6
fighter Sylvia 6.5
Great submissions by Arlovski
Round 1 Feb 05, 2005 vs Sylvia
Round 1 Nov 17, 2000 vs Brink
Round 1 Apr 09, 2000 vs Tielrooy

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Arlovski 8.2
fighter Sylvia 7.9
Fast finishes by Arlovski
673 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Rothwell
47 seconds Feb 05, 2005 vs Sylvia
119 seconds Sep 26, 2003 vs Matyushenko
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XX
XX
00
00
July 8, 2006UFC 61
team
VS
team
XR5 DEC
XR2 KO
1,9342,017
1,8962,056
April 15, 2006UFC 59
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
R2 KOX
1,9881,964
1,9342,017
February 5, 2005UFC 51
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XR2 KO
1,8361,956
1,9021,889
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Arlovski
legend Sylvia
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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