UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Arlovski vs Mir

2,086

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Arlovski

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
69% chance Arlovski
WILL WIN

1,948

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Andrei Arlovski
Much heavier hands 9.0 vs 7.2 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 9.0 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 193 cm vs 191 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Frank Mir
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.6 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.2 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly heavier 261 lbs vs 241 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Longer reach 201 cm vs 196 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Arlovski on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mir’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Andrei
Arlovski
In 12:31, how much damage will he do? Arlovski Mir
Significant Strikes67
Arlovski's excellent striking offense will dominate Mir's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 113 Significant Strikes in 12:31
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Arlovski's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Mir's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:31
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Arlovski has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Arlovski is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Arlovski is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Mir on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Arlovski’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Frank
Mir
In 12:31, how much damage will he do? Mir Arlovski
Significant Strikes55
Mir's good striking offense may be a factor against Arlovski's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 113 Significant Strikes in 12:31
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Mir's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Arlovski's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:31
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mir is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mir has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mir is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Arlovski 9.0
fighter Mir 8.7
Great striking by Arlovski
52 strikes Jul 19, 2008 vs Rothwell
2 strikes Oct 07, 2005 vs Buentello
9 strikes Sep 26, 2003 vs Matyushenko

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Arlovski 7.2
fighter Mir 8.1
Great takedowns by Mir
1 takedown Dec 10, 2011 vs Nogueira
6 takedowns May 28, 2011 vs Nelson
1 takedown Dec 27, 2008 vs Nogueira

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Arlovski 9.0
fighter Mir 7.2
Great knockouts by Arlovski
Round 3 Jul 19, 2008 vs Rothwell
Round 1 Oct 07, 2005 vs Buentello
Round 1 Sep 26, 2003 vs Matyushenko

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Arlovski 6.6
fighter Mir 8.1
Great submissions by Mir
Round 1 Dec 10, 2011 vs Nogueira
Round 1 Dec 12, 2009 vs Kongo
Round 1 Jun 19, 2004 vs Sylvia

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Arlovski 8.2
fighter Mir 8.4
Fast finishes by Mir
218 seconds Dec 10, 2011 vs Nogueira
414 seconds Dec 27, 2008 vs Nogueira
50 seconds Jun 19, 2004 vs Sylvia
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 5, 2015UFC 191
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Arlovski
legend Mir
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 7 comments.
Look what happened, I told you who is gong to win those fights that I knew who would win because I am the greatest but look what happeed. I told that holloway would win and it happened. Da, tko. I previously state thamcgregor would beat mendes on cage rank and look what happened. I am never wrong. it is impossible for me to be wrong so when I talk, write, walk, I do it right because when I talk you listen
I am the greatest.
Good rant...A lot of unrelated here and there comments...I thought I knew tourettes when I seen it but you just redefined the entire condition with ease...I congratulate and bow down to your retarded awesomeness...Regarding the " glass chin " thing....i guess with heavyweights you are either just caught or not dunno...
I would bend rousey over and grab her hair then start butt fucking her and she would take it like a good girl and if she tried to struggle then I would pop her in her mover fucing mouth then stab her in the thigh then she would start sucking my dick and making out with miesha tate because I am the greatest.
Stupid
What the hell, who are you boy. You cant have a glass chin then just not have it somehow, its not a magic trick when it comes to reality buddy boy. How ignorant and idiotically stupid are you boy. Vitor Belfort will kill Henderson, Holloway will end charly the girl, McGregor will kill aldo, and jon the second best ever because conor is best but jones would kill Daniel if they fought again.
Rooting for Mir..hoping he gets the heavyweight title one more time befoire he retires....Seems hes been reinvigorated lately but will it last is the question....Much sharper striker but its been against lesser competition...Same with arlovski though, he's been winning but none of his wins were against world beaters....Previously had a glass chin and seems thats no longer an issue for him....It should be a very interesting fight but as to who the winner is, i do not see any definite outcome
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