UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Arlovski vs Hunt

2,086

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Arlovski

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
68% chance Arlovski
WILL WIN

1,958

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Andrei Arlovski
Much taller 193 cm vs 178 cm Around 10% taller
Much better submission defense 9.4 vs 7.9 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.8 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Longer reach 196 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 39 years vs 44 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands 9.0 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Mark Hunt
Much stronger takedown offense 8.2 vs 7.2 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 264 lbs vs 247 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Arlovski on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hunt’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Andrei
Arlovski
In 12:06, how much damage will he do? Arlovski Hunt
Significant Strikes58
Arlovski's excellent striking offense will dominate Hunt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 109 Significant Strikes in 12:06
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Arlovski's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Hunt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:06
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Arlovski has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Arlovski is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Arlovski is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Hunt on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Arlovski’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mark
Hunt
In 12:06, how much damage will he do? Hunt Arlovski
Significant Strikes52
Hunt's good striking offense may be a factor against Arlovski's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 109 Significant Strikes in 12:06
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Hunt's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Arlovski's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:06
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hunt has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hunt is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hunt is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Arlovski 9.0
fighter Hunt 8.6
Great striking by Arlovski
52 strikes Jul 19, 2008 vs Rothwell
2 strikes Oct 07, 2005 vs Buentello
9 strikes Sep 26, 2003 vs Matyushenko

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Arlovski 7.2
fighter Hunt 8.2
Great takedowns by Hunt
1 takedown Mar 03, 2013 vs Struve
2 takedowns Sep 24, 2011 vs Rothwell
1 takedown May 05, 2006 vs Kosaka

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Arlovski 9.0
fighter Hunt 8.6
Great knockouts by Arlovski
Round 3 Jul 19, 2008 vs Rothwell
Round 1 Oct 07, 2005 vs Buentello
Round 1 Sep 26, 2003 vs Matyushenko

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Arlovski 6.6
fighter Hunt 6.6
Great submissions by Arlovski
Round 1 Feb 05, 2005 vs Sylvia
Round 1 Nov 17, 2000 vs Brink
Round 1 Apr 09, 2000 vs Tielrooy

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Arlovski 8.2
fighter Hunt 7.8
Fast finishes by Arlovski
673 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Rothwell
47 seconds Feb 05, 2005 vs Sylvia
119 seconds Sep 26, 2003 vs Matyushenko
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Arlovski
legend Hunt
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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