UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Arlovski vs Buentello

2,086

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Arlovski

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
83% chance Arlovski
WILL WIN

1,815

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Andrei Arlovski
Much better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.2 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much heavier hands 9.0 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.5 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better striker 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 241 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission offense 6.6 vs 6.2 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 38 years vs 43 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly taller 193 cm vs 191 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Paul Buentello
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Slightly stronger takedown offense 7.3 vs 7.2 Almost the same
Arlovski on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Buentello’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Andrei
Arlovski
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Arlovski Buentello
Significant Strikes98
Arlovski's excellent striking offense will dominate Buentello's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Arlovski's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Buentello's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Arlovski has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Arlovski is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Arlovski has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Buentello on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Arlovski’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Buentello
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Buentello Arlovski
Significant Strikes61
Buentello's average striking offense is matched by Arlovski's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Buentello's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Arlovski's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Buentello has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Buentello is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Buentello is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Arlovski 9.0
fighter Buentello 8.5
Great striking by Arlovski
52 strikes Jul 19, 2008 vs Rothwell
2 strikes Oct 07, 2005 vs Buentello
9 strikes Sep 26, 2003 vs Matyushenko

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Arlovski 7.2
fighter Buentello 7.3
Great takedowns by Buentello
1 takedown Feb 04, 2006 vs Aldana

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Arlovski 9.0
fighter Buentello 8.2
Great knockouts by Arlovski
Round 3 Jul 19, 2008 vs Rothwell
Round 1 Oct 07, 2005 vs Buentello
Round 1 Sep 26, 2003 vs Matyushenko

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Arlovski 6.6
fighter Buentello 6.3
Great submissions by Arlovski
Round 1 Feb 05, 2005 vs Sylvia
Round 1 Nov 17, 2000 vs Brink
Round 1 Apr 09, 2000 vs Tielrooy

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Arlovski 8.2
fighter Buentello 7.6
Fast finishes by Arlovski
673 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Rothwell
47 seconds Feb 05, 2005 vs Sylvia
119 seconds Sep 26, 2003 vs Matyushenko
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 7, 2005UFC 55
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR2 KO
1,9351,956
1,9881,903
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Arlovski
legend Buentello
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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