UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Arlovski vs Tybura

2,086

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Arlovski

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
70% chance Arlovski
WILL WIN

1,937

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Andrei Arlovski
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.3 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.7 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier hands 9.0 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 193 cm vs 191 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Marcin Tybura
Significantly better submission offense 7.8 vs 6.6 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 31 years vs 38 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 248 lbs vs 241 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Arlovski on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Tybura’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Andrei
Arlovski
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Arlovski has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Arlovski is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Arlovski is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Tybura on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Arlovski’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Marcin
Tybura
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Tybura has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Tybura is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Tybura is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Arlovski 9.0
fighter Tybura 8.4
Great knockouts by Arlovski
Round 3 Jul 19, 2008 vs Rothwell
Round 1 Oct 07, 2005 vs Buentello
Round 1 Sep 26, 2003 vs Matyushenko

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Arlovski 6.6
fighter Tybura 7.8
Great submissions by Tybura
Round 1 Oct 20, 2013 vs Gluhov
Round 1 Nov 13, 2011 vs Slusakowicz
Round 1 Nov 05, 2011 vs Marcok

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Arlovski 8.2
fighter Tybura 8.4
Fast finishes by Tybura
270 seconds Oct 20, 2013 vs Gluhov
125 seconds Aug 21, 2013 vs Ka
713 seconds Dec 08, 2012 vs Kopytowski
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Arlovski
legend Tybura
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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