UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Arlovski vs Tuivasa

2,086

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Arlovski

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
96% chance Arlovski
WILL WIN

1,550

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Andrei Arlovski
Much better submission defense 9.4 vs 7.2 Around 30% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 7.3 Around 30% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much stronger jaw 9.1 vs 7.3 Around 25% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much heavier hands 9.0 vs 7.8 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 193 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Tai Tuivasa
Much younger 25 years vs 39 years More than 35% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly better submission offense 7.2 vs 6.6 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 264 lbs vs 247 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Arlovski on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Tuivasa’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Andrei
Arlovski
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Arlovski has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Arlovski is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Arlovski has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Tuivasa on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Arlovski’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tai
Tuivasa
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Tuivasa is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Tuivasa is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Tuivasa is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Arlovski 9.0
fighter Tuivasa 7.8
Great knockouts by Arlovski
Round 3 Jul 19, 2008 vs Rothwell
Round 1 Oct 07, 2005 vs Buentello
Round 1 Sep 26, 2003 vs Matyushenko

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Arlovski 8.2
fighter Tuivasa 7.8
Fast finishes by Arlovski
673 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Rothwell
47 seconds Feb 05, 2005 vs Sylvia
119 seconds Sep 26, 2003 vs Matyushenko
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 9, 2018UFC 225
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Arlovski
legend Tuivasa
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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