UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Chalangov vs Alves

1,836

CageRank

WINNER
Alves

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
77% chance Alves
WILL WIN

2,049

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Thiago Alves
Much heavier hands 8.0 vs 6.6 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much better takedown defense 8.6 vs 7.7 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.6 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 34 years vs 38 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Slightly longer reach 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Ansar Chalangov
Much better submission offense 8.8 vs 6.9 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.9 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Alves on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Chalangov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Thiago
Alves
In 10:50, how much damage will he do? Alves Chalangov
Significant Strikes61
Alves's excellent striking offense will dominate Chalangov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:50
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Alves's below average takedown offense is matched by Chalangov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:50
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Alves is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Alves is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Alves is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Chalangov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Alves’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ansar
Chalangov
In 10:50, how much damage will he do? Chalangov Alves
Significant Strikes38
Chalangov's average striking offense is matched by Alves's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:50
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Chalangov's average takedown offense is matched by Alves's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:50
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Chalangov is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Chalangov has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Chalangov is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Alves 9.0
fighter Chalangov 8.1
Great striking by Alves
80 strikes Oct 25, 2008 vs Koscheck
10 strikes Jun 07, 2008 vs Hughes
17 strikes Apr 02, 2008 vs Parisyan

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Alves 8.0
fighter Chalangov 6.6
Great knockouts by Alves
Round 2 Jun 07, 2008 vs Hughes
Round 2 Apr 02, 2008 vs Parisyan
Round 2 Nov 17, 2007 vs Lytle

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Alves 6.9
fighter Chalangov 8.8
Great submissions by Chalangov
Round 1 Dec 03, 2009 vs Pereira
Round 2 Nov 21, 2008 vs Jones
Round 1 Dec 05, 2003 vs Strasser

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Alves 8.3
fighter Chalangov 8.8
Fast finishes by Chalangov
197 seconds Dec 03, 2009 vs Pereira
600 seconds May 14, 2005 vs Hallman
53 seconds Dec 05, 2003 vs Strasser
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 19, 2005UFC 56
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
R2 SUBX
1,8471,776
1,7871,836
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Alves
legend Chalangov
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus