UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Barry vs Struve

1,730

CageRank

WINNER
Struve

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
82% chance Struve
WILL WIN

1,990

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Stefan Struve
Much taller 213 cm vs 180 cm Around 20% taller
Much longer reach 215 cm vs 189 cm Around 15% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.5 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly heavier 264 lbs vs 236 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly better submission defense 8.8 vs 7.8 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.0 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 29 years vs 38 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Stronger takedown offense 7.3 vs 6.9 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better striker 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Advantages for Pat Barry
Heavier hands 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Struve on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Barry’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Stefan
Struve
In 6:26, how much damage will he do? Struve Barry
Significant Strikes33
Struve's average striking offense may be a factor against Barry's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 58 Significant Strikes in 6:26
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Struve's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Barry's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:26
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Struve has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Struve has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Struve is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Barry on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Struve’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Pat
Barry
In 6:26, how much damage will he do? Barry Struve
Significant Strikes29
Barry's average striking offense may be a factor against Struve's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 58 Significant Strikes in 6:26
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Barry's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Struve's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:26
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Barry has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Barry is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Barry is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Struve 8.4
fighter Barry 8.1
Great striking by Struve
57 strikes Sep 29, 2012 vs Miocic
47 strikes Feb 15, 2012 vs Herman
54 strikes Dec 12, 2009 vs Buentello

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Struve 7.3
fighter Barry 6.9
Great takedowns by Struve
1 takedown Feb 15, 2012 vs Herman
1 takedown Dec 12, 2009 vs Buentello
1 takedown Oct 24, 2009 vs Gormley

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Struve 8.1
fighter Barry 8.4
Great knockouts by Barry
Round 2 Dec 15, 2012 vs del Rosario
Round 2 Oct 24, 2009 vs Hardonk
Round 1 May 30, 2008 vs Delaney

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Struve 8.0
fighter Barry 6.5
Great submissions by Struve
Round 1 May 26, 2012 vs Johnson
Round 2 Oct 01, 2011 vs Barry
Round 1 Oct 24, 2009 vs Gormley

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Struve 8.8
fighter Barry 8.1
Fast finishes by Struve
530 seconds Sep 29, 2012 vs Miocic
65 seconds May 26, 2012 vs Johnson
532 seconds Feb 15, 2012 vs Herman
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,7481,886
1,7171,917
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Struve
legend Barry
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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