UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Trinaldo vs Lee

1,919

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Trinaldo

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
59% chance Trinaldo
WILL WIN

1,856

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Francisco Trinaldo
Significantly heavier hands 7.7 vs 6.6 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 8.5 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly better takedown defense 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Slightly better submission defense 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Kevin Lee
Much younger 25 years vs 39 years More than 35% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.7 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 175 cm vs 173 cm Almost the same
Trinaldo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lee’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Francisco
Trinaldo
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Trinaldo Lee
Significant Strikes68
Trinaldo's average striking offense is matched by Lee's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Trinaldo's average takedown offense is matched by Lee's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Trinaldo is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Trinaldo has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Trinaldo is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lee on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Trinaldo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kevin
Lee
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Lee Trinaldo
Significant Strikes61
Lee's average striking offense is matched by Trinaldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Lee's average takedown offense is matched by Trinaldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lee is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lee has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lee has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Trinaldo 8.4
fighter Lee 8.4
Great striking by Trinaldo
5 strikes May 18, 2013 vs Rio
12 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Keith
21 strikes Jun 23, 2012 vs Heleno

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Trinaldo 7.7
fighter Lee 6.6
Great knockouts by Trinaldo
Round 1 Jun 23, 2012 vs Heleno
Round 2 May 21, 2011 vs Burnsed
Round 2 May 22, 2010 vs Alvaro

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Trinaldo 7.7
fighter Lee 8.1
Great submissions by Lee
Round 1 Sep 13, 2013 vs Gervais
Round 3 Jul 19, 2013 vs Lile
Round 2 Apr 13, 2013 vs Prepolec

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Trinaldo 8.2
fighter Lee 7.9
Fast finishes by Trinaldo
188 seconds May 18, 2013 vs Rio
261 seconds Jun 23, 2012 vs Heleno
123 seconds Feb 25, 2010 vs Firmino
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 11, 2017UFC Fight Night 106
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Trinaldo
legend Lee
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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