UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ruediger vs Wells

1,715

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Ruediger

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
61% chance Ruediger
WILL WIN

1,636

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gabe Ruediger
Much better submission offense 8.4 vs 6.8 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.1 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for Sam Wells
Significantly stronger jaw 8.6 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.7 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 8.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Ruediger on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Wells’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gabe
Ruediger
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ruediger is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ruediger has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Ruediger is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Wells on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ruediger’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sam
Wells
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Wells has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Wells is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Wells is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ruediger 6.8
fighter Wells 7.3
Great knockouts by Wells
Round 2 Apr 12, 2003 vs Haourt
Round 1 Oct 18, 2002 vs Ruediger
Round 3 May 17, 2002 vs Schelanberger

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ruediger 8.4
fighter Wells 6.8
Great submissions by Ruediger
Round 2 Aug 15, 2009 vs Braga
Round 1 Aug 30, 2007 vs Kassimatis
Round 1 Oct 21, 2004 vs Alfonso

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ruediger 8.1
fighter Wells 7.1
Fast finishes by Ruediger
205 seconds Jul 09, 2010 vs Lovato
358 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Braga
231 seconds Aug 30, 2007 vs Kassimatis
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 14, 2005WEC 17
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
R2 SUBX
1,7801,671
1,8151,636
October 18, 2002WEC 5
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR2 SUB
1,5001,653
1,4711,682
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ruediger
legend Wells
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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