UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ferreira vs Masvidal

1,836

CageRank

WINNER
Masvidal

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
84% chance Masvidal
WILL WIN

2,125

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jorge Masvidal
Much stronger jaw 9.5 vs 7.6 More than 25% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 8.0 More than 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better striker 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier hands 7.5 vs 7.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Cezar Ferreira
Significantly longer reach 199 cm vs 185 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.9 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.6 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Masvidal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ferreira’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Masvidal
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Masvidal Ferreira
Significant Strikes67
Masvidal's good striking offense is matched by Ferreira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Masvidal's good takedown offense may be a factor against Ferreira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Masvidal has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Masvidal is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Masvidal has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Ferreira on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Masvidal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cezar
Ferreira
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Ferreira Masvidal
Significant Strikes54
Ferreira's average striking offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Ferreira's average takedown offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ferreira is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ferreira is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ferreira is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Masvidal 8.8
fighter Ferreira 8.3
Great striking by Masvidal
50 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
82 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Wilcox
56 strikes Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Masvidal 8.7
fighter Ferreira 8.2
Great takedowns by Masvidal
6 takedowns Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
7 takedowns Jun 18, 2011 vs Noons
3 takedowns Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Masvidal 7.5
fighter Ferreira 7.3
Great knockouts by Masvidal
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Kitaoka
Round 1 Apr 03, 2009 vs Agallar
Round 1 Sep 28, 2008 vs Schultz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Masvidal 6.9
fighter Ferreira 7.4
Great submissions by Ferreira
Round 2 Nov 19, 2016 vs Hermansson
Round 1 Aug 03, 2013 vs Santos
Round 2 Feb 25, 2010 vs Arinelli

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Masvidal 7.6
fighter Ferreira 7.8
Fast finishes by Ferreira
47 seconds Aug 03, 2013 vs Santos
17 seconds Apr 16, 2011 vs Sims
517 seconds May 28, 2010 vs Ricardo Castanho de Freitas
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 12, 2015TUF 21 Finale
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Masvidal
legend Ferreira
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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