UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ferreira vs Santos

1,836

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Ferreira

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
71% chance Ferreira
WILL WIN

1,679

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cezar Ferreira
Much better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.5 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better submission defense 8.7 vs 7.9 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.3 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Slightly taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Thiago Santos
Significantly stronger jaw 8.3 vs 7.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly heavier hands 7.8 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Slightly stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Ferreira on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Santos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cezar
Ferreira
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Ferreira Santos
Significant Strikes65
Ferreira's average striking offense is matched by Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Ferreira's average takedown offense is matched by Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ferreira is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Ferreira is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Ferreira has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Santos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ferreira’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Thiago
Santos
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Santos Ferreira
Significant Strikes45
Santos's average striking offense won't be a factor against Ferreira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Santos's average takedown offense is matched by Ferreira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Santos has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Santos is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Santos is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Ferreira 8.3
fighter Santos 8.1
Great striking by Ferreira
15 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Sarafian
3 strikes Aug 03, 2013 vs Santos
42 strikes Jun 23, 2012 vs Moraes

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ferreira 7.3
fighter Santos 7.8
Great knockouts by Santos
Round 1 Jul 27, 2012 vs Figueira da Silva
Round 1 Aug 13, 2011 vs Braga
Round 2 Apr 16, 2011 vs Barreiro

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ferreira 7.4
fighter Santos 6.5
Great submissions by Ferreira
Round 2 Nov 19, 2016 vs Hermansson
Round 1 Aug 03, 2013 vs Santos
Round 2 Feb 25, 2010 vs Arinelli

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ferreira 7.8
fighter Santos 7.8
Fast finishes by Ferreira
47 seconds Aug 03, 2013 vs Santos
17 seconds Apr 16, 2011 vs Sims
517 seconds May 28, 2010 vs Ricardo Castanho de Freitas
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 3, 2013UFC 163
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 KOX
1,7191,685
1,7641,640
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ferreira
legend Santos
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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