UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Miller vs Stephens

1,907

CageRank

WINNER
Stephens

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
60% chance Stephens
WILL WIN

1,978

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jeremy Stephens
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 6.4 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.3 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Younger 31 years vs 33 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Cole Miller
Much better submission offense 9.0 vs 6.5 Around 40% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much taller 185 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly longer reach 188 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stephens on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Miller’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jeremy
Stephens
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Stephens Miller
Significant Strikes74
Stephens's average striking offense is matched by Miller's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Stephens's average takedown offense is matched by Miller's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Stephens has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Stephens is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Stephens has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Miller on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Stephens’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cole
Miller
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Miller Stephens
Significant Strikes51
Miller's average striking offense won't be a factor against Stephens's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Miller's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Stephens's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Miller is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Miller has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Miller is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Stephens 8.5
fighter Miller 8.4
Great striking by Stephens
40 strikes Jan 25, 2014 vs Elkins
3 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Mariano Bezerra
55 strikes May 08, 2010 vs Stout

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Stephens 8.0
fighter Miller 7.3
Great takedowns by Stephens
1 takedown Jan 25, 2014 vs Elkins
6 takedowns May 25, 2013 vs Payan
3 takedowns May 08, 2010 vs Stout

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Stephens 8.2
fighter Miller 6.4
Great knockouts by Stephens
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Mariano Bezerra
Round 3 Jan 01, 2011 vs Davis
Round 2 Jan 23, 2008 vs Miller

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Stephens 6.5
fighter Miller 9.0
Great submissions by Miller
Round 1 Apr 13, 2013 vs Palaszewski
Round 2 Sep 15, 2010 vs Pearson
Round 3 Jul 05, 2008 vs Gurgel

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Stephens 8.0
fighter Miller 8.4
Fast finishes by Miller
263 seconds Apr 13, 2013 vs Palaszewski
409 seconds Sep 15, 2010 vs Pearson
185 seconds Jan 02, 2010 vs Lauzon
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 23, 2008UFC Fight Night 12
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
R1 SUBX
1,9101,886
1,8561,940
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Stephens
legend Miller
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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