UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Miller vs Phan

1,907

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Miller

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
73% chance Miller
WILL WIN

1,732

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cole Miller
Much better submission offense 9.0 vs 6.8 Around 35% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 8.5 vs 7.4 More than 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much taller 185 cm vs 168 cm More than 10% taller
Much heavier 144 lbs vs 141 lbs Almost the same
Significantly better takedown defense 8.7 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly longer reach 188 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly fast finishes 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.1 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Nam Phan
Much heavier hands 7.6 vs 6.4 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Miller on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Phan’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cole
Miller
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Miller Phan
Significant Strikes103
Miller's average striking offense may be a factor against Phan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Poor
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Miller's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Phan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Miller is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Miller has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Miller is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Below average
Scoring ability
Phan on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Miller’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nam
Phan
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Phan Miller
Significant Strikes79
Phan's good striking offense may be a factor against Miller's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Phan's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Miller's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Phan is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Phan is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Phan has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Miller 8.4
fighter Phan 8.7
Great striking by Phan
129 strikes Aug 04, 2012 vs Miller
174 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Garcia

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Miller 7.3
fighter Phan 7.2
Great takedowns by Miller
1 takedown Apr 13, 2013 vs Palaszewski
1 takedown Sep 15, 2010 vs Pearson
1 takedown Jul 05, 2008 vs Gurgel

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Miller 6.4
fighter Phan 7.6
Great knockouts by Phan
Round 1 Mar 20, 2009 vs Kadowaki
Round 2 Feb 16, 2008 vs Awad
Round 1 Oct 06, 2007 vs Smith

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Miller 9.0
fighter Phan 6.8
Great submissions by Miller
Round 1 Apr 13, 2013 vs Palaszewski
Round 2 Sep 15, 2010 vs Pearson
Round 3 Jul 05, 2008 vs Gurgel

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Miller 8.4
fighter Phan 7.9
Fast finishes by Miller
263 seconds Apr 13, 2013 vs Palaszewski
409 seconds Sep 15, 2010 vs Pearson
185 seconds Jan 02, 2010 vs Lauzon
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 4, 2012UFC on Fox 4
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
R1 SUBX
1,8831,710
1,8101,783
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Miller
legend Phan
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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