UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Miller vs O'Brien

1,907

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Miller

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
57% chance Miller
WILL WIN

1,859

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cole Miller
Much better submission defense 9.6 vs 7.9 More than 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.3 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier hands 6.4 vs 6.0 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Advantages for T.J. O'Brien
Much stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 7.3 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 31 years vs 34 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Slightly taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Miller on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against O'Brien’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cole
Miller
In 9:31, how much damage will he do? Miller O'Brien
Significant Strikes48
Miller's average striking offense is matched by O'Brien's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 86 Significant Strikes in 9:31
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Miller's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against O'Brien's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:31
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Miller is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Miller has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Miller is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
O'Brien on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Miller’s defensive skills
Predictions For
T.J.
O'Brien
In 9:31, how much damage will he do? O'Brien Miller
Significant Strikes46
O'Brien's average striking offense is matched by Miller's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 86 Significant Strikes in 9:31
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
O'Brien's average takedown offense is matched by Miller's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:31
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
O'Brien is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
O'Brien has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
O'Brien is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Miller 6.4
fighter O'Brien 6.0
Great knockouts by Miller
Round 1 Jun 23, 2007 vs Wang
Round 1 Dec 17, 2005 vs Love
Round 1 Sep 09, 2005 vs Honeycutt

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Miller 9.0
fighter O'Brien 9.1
Great submissions by O'Brien
Round 1 Oct 22, 2010 vs Henry
Round 1 Jul 16, 2010 vs Cochrane
Round 1 Jan 16, 2010 vs Brown

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Miller 8.4
fighter O'Brien 8.8
Fast finishes by O'Brien
228 seconds Oct 22, 2010 vs Henry
120 seconds Jul 16, 2010 vs Cochrane
76 seconds Jan 16, 2010 vs Brown
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
R2 SUBX
1,8991,824
1,9381,785
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Miller
legend O'Brien
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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