UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Strasser vs Daley

1,744

CageRank

WINNER
Daley

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
83% chance Daley
WILL WIN

2,017

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Paul Daley
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 6.5 More than 45% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.3 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much younger 35 years vs 48 years More than 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly better takedown defense 8.4 vs 7.6 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.3 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly heavier 170 lbs vs 166 lbs Almost the same
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Dave Strasser
Much better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.3 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.6 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Daley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Strasser’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Daley
In 7:44, how much damage will he do? Daley Strasser
Significant Strikes36
Daley's good striking offense may be a factor against Strasser's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 70 Significant Strikes in 7:44
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Daley's below average takedown offense is matched by Strasser's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:44
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Daley has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Daley is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Daley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Strasser on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Daley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dave
Strasser
In 7:44, how much damage will he do? Strasser Daley
Significant Strikes26
Strasser's average striking offense is matched by Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 70 Significant Strikes in 7:44
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Strasser's average takedown offense is matched by Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:44
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Strasser is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Strasser is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Strasser is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Daley 8.7
fighter Strasser 8.1
Great striking by Daley
17 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Smith
8 strikes Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
27 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Daley 7.6
fighter Strasser 8.1
Great takedowns by Strasser
1 takedown Apr 25, 2003 vs Aram

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Daley 9.5
fighter Strasser 6.5
Great knockouts by Daley
Round 1 Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
Round 2 Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Daley 6.3
fighter Strasser 7.5
Great submissions by Strasser
Round 1 Oct 21, 2005 vs Reed
Round 1 Nov 20, 1999 vs Imada
Round 1 Apr 18, 1997 vs Jones

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Daley 8.8
fighter Strasser 7.3
Fast finishes by Daley
144 seconds Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
151 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
438 seconds Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 22, 2006Cage Rage 16
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
R1 SUBX
1,7901,709
1,7281,771
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Daley
legend Strasser
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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