UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Strasser vs St. Pierre

1,744

CageRank

WINNER
St. Pierre

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
98% chance St. Pierre
WILL WIN

2,455

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Georges St. Pierre
Much better takedown defense 10.0 vs 7.6 More than 30% better at avoiding being taken down
Much stronger takedown offense 10.0 vs 8.1 Around 25% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better striker 9.3 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much harder to hit 9.7 vs 8.8 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 6.5 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.3 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.3 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly younger 36 years vs 48 years 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.4 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 169 lbs vs 166 lbs Almost the same
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Dave Strasser
From what we can tell, Georges St. Pierre dominates Dave Strasser in every way.
St. Pierre on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Strasser’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Georges
St. Pierre
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? St. Pierre Strasser
Significant Strikes88
St. Pierre's excellent striking offense will dominate Strasser's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns7
St. Pierre's excellent takedown offense will dominate Strasser's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
St. Pierre is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Strasser on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Pierre’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dave
Strasser
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Strasser St. Pierre
Significant Strikes25
Strasser's average striking offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Strasser's average takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Strasser is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Strasser is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Strasser is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Pierre 9.3
fighter Strasser 8.1
Great striking by St. Pierre
101 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
85 strikes Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields
45 strikes Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 10.0
fighter Strasser 8.1
Great takedowns by St. Pierre
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
7 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Condit
2 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Pierre 8.2
fighter Strasser 6.5
Great knockouts by St. Pierre
Round 4 Jan 31, 2009 vs Penn
Round 2 Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes
Round 2 Nov 19, 2005 vs Sherk

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 7.6
fighter Strasser 7.5
Great submissions by St. Pierre
Round 2 Dec 29, 2007 vs Hughes
Round 1 Aug 20, 2005 vs Trigg
Round 1 Jan 29, 2005 vs Strasser

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Pierre 8.3
fighter Strasser 7.3
Fast finishes by St. Pierre
594 seconds Dec 29, 2007 vs Hughes
385 seconds Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes
473 seconds Nov 19, 2005 vs Sherk
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 29, 2005TKO 19
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR1 SUB
1,7691,838
1,7291,878
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Pierre
legend Strasser
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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