UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGee vs Neer

1,899

CageRank

WINNER
Neer

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
50% chance Neer
WILL WIN

1,900

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Josh Neer
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.4 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.4 vs 7.1 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Court McGee
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.6 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly longer reach 192 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly harder to hit 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 9.0 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 33 years vs 35 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Neer on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGee’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Josh
Neer
In 12:38, how much damage will he do? Neer McGee
Significant Strikes62
Neer's average striking offense is matched by McGee's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 114 Significant Strikes in 12:38
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Neer's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against McGee's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:38
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Neer has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Neer is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Neer is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
McGee on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Neer’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Court
McGee
In 12:38, how much damage will he do? McGee Neer
Significant Strikes88
McGee's excellent striking offense will dominate Neer's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 114 Significant Strikes in 12:38
Excellent
Striking
vs
Poor
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
McGee's average takedown offense is matched by Neer's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:38
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGee is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGee is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGee has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Neer 8.4
fighter McGee 9.0
Great striking by McGee
88 strikes Aug 28, 2013 vs Whittaker
166 strikes Feb 23, 2013 vs Neer
62 strikes Sep 17, 2011 vs Yang

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Neer 7.6
fighter McGee 8.5
Great takedowns by McGee
1 takedown Aug 28, 2013 vs Whittaker
2 takedowns Feb 23, 2013 vs Neer
2 takedowns Sep 17, 2011 vs Yang

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Neer 8.4
fighter McGee 7.1
Great knockouts by Neer
Round 2 Oct 01, 2011 vs Wisniewski
Round 1 Jun 25, 2011 vs Juarez
Round 1 Sep 10, 2004 vs Macias

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Neer 7.9
fighter McGee 7.4
Great submissions by Neer
Round 1 Jan 20, 2012 vs Ludwig
Round 2 Feb 07, 2009 vs Danzig
Round 1 Sep 14, 2005 vs Petz

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Neer 8.6
fighter McGee 7.5
Fast finishes by Neer
600 seconds Oct 01, 2011 vs Wisniewski
300 seconds Jun 25, 2011 vs Juarez
516 seconds Feb 07, 2009 vs Danzig
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 23, 2013UFC 157
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XR1 KO
1,8561,912
1,9141,854
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Neer
legend McGee
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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