UFC fight predictions and analysis
Upcoming:
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGee vs Jensen

1,899

CageRank

WINNER
Jensen

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
50% chance Jensen
WILL WIN

1,900

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ryan Jensen
Fast finishes 9.1 vs 7.4 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 8.4 vs 7.4 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much heavier hands 7.8 vs 7.1 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Advantages for Court McGee
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much better takedown defense 8.7 vs 7.7 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.1 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.7 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.5 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 33 years vs 40 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Jensen on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGee’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ryan
Jensen
In 11:21, how much damage will he do? Jensen McGee
Significant Strikes49
Jensen's average striking offense is matched by McGee's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 102 Significant Strikes in 11:21
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Jensen's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against McGee's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:21
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jensen is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jensen has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jensen is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
McGee on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jensen’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Court
McGee
In 11:21, how much damage will he do? McGee Jensen
Significant Strikes62
McGee's excellent striking offense will dominate Jensen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 102 Significant Strikes in 11:21
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
McGee's average takedown offense may be a factor against Jensen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:21
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGee is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGee is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
McGee is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Jensen 8.1
fighter McGee 9.0
Great striking by McGee
88 strikes Aug 28, 2013 vs Whittaker
166 strikes Feb 23, 2013 vs Neer
62 strikes Sep 17, 2011 vs Yang

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Jensen 7.7
fighter McGee 8.5
Great takedowns by McGee
1 takedown Aug 28, 2013 vs Whittaker
2 takedowns Feb 23, 2013 vs Neer
2 takedowns Sep 17, 2011 vs Yang

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Jensen 7.8
fighter McGee 7.1
Great knockouts by Jensen
Round 1 Jul 26, 2008 vs Praschak
Round 1 Jun 20, 2008 vs Whitesel
Round 1 Aug 17, 2002 vs Stamp

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Jensen 8.4
fighter McGee 7.4
Great submissions by Jensen
Round 1 Jul 27, 2013 vs Moreno
Round 1 May 29, 2010 vs Forbes
Round 1 May 20, 2006 vs Kimmons

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Jensen 9.1
fighter McGee 7.5
Fast finishes by Jensen
192 seconds Jul 27, 2013 vs Moreno
66 seconds May 29, 2010 vs Forbes
56 seconds Aug 17, 2002 vs Stamp
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 23, 2010UFC 121
team
VS
team
R3 SUBX
R1 SUBX
1,8971,816
1,9361,778
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Jensen
legend McGee
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus