UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McGee vs Ponzinibbio

1,899

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
McGee

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
59% chance McGee
WILL WIN

1,835

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Court McGee
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 8.7 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Slightly better submission offense 7.4 vs 7.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Santiago Ponzinibbio
Significantly fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly heavier hands 7.8 vs 7.1 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Harder to hit 8.4 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
McGee on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ponzinibbio’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Court
McGee
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? McGee Ponzinibbio
Significant Strikes92
McGee's excellent striking offense will dominate Ponzinibbio's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
McGee's average takedown offense is matched by Ponzinibbio's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGee is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGee is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGee is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Ponzinibbio on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGee’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Santiago
Ponzinibbio
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Ponzinibbio McGee
Significant Strikes72
Ponzinibbio's average striking offense is matched by McGee's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Ponzinibbio's average takedown offense won't be a factor against McGee's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ponzinibbio is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ponzinibbio is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ponzinibbio is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter McGee 9.0
fighter Ponzinibbio 8.3
Great striking by McGee
88 strikes Aug 28, 2013 vs Whittaker
166 strikes Feb 23, 2013 vs Neer
62 strikes Sep 17, 2011 vs Yang

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter McGee 8.5
fighter Ponzinibbio 8.3
Great takedowns by McGee
1 takedown Aug 28, 2013 vs Whittaker
2 takedowns Feb 23, 2013 vs Neer
2 takedowns Sep 17, 2011 vs Yang

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter McGee 7.1
fighter Ponzinibbio 7.8
Great knockouts by Ponzinibbio
Round 2 Dec 12, 2011 vs Dias
Round 1 Sep 17, 2011 vs Nascimento
Round 2 Apr 24, 2010 vs Inseto

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter McGee 7.4
fighter Ponzinibbio 7.3
Great submissions by McGee
Round 3 Oct 23, 2010 vs Jensen
Round 2 Jun 19, 2010 vs McCray
Round 3 Jun 16, 2007 vs Johnson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter McGee 7.5
fighter Ponzinibbio 8.2
Fast finishes by Ponzinibbio
158 seconds Jun 09, 2012 vs Duarte
600 seconds Dec 12, 2011 vs Dias
90 seconds Sep 17, 2011 vs Nascimento
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 16, 2016UFC on Fox 19
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend McGee
legend Ponzinibbio
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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