UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Boku vs Ishida

1,804

CageRank

WINNER
Ishida

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
54% chance Ishida
WILL WIN

1,833

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Mitsuhiro Ishida
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 7.8 Around 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Much stronger takedown offense 9.5 vs 8.2 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much harder to hit 9.3 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better submission offense 6.7 vs 6.1 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 38 years vs 40 years 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Kotetsu Boku
Much heavier hands 8.1 vs 6.7 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.2 vs 7.9 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly heavier 144 lbs vs 142 lbs Almost the same
A lot taller 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 8.4 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Ishida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Boku’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mitsuhiro
Ishida
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Ishida Boku
Significant Strikes62
Ishida's average striking offense is matched by Boku's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns6
Ishida's excellent takedown offense will dominate Boku's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ishida is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ishida is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ishida has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Boku on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ishida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kotetsu
Boku
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Boku Ishida
Significant Strikes45
Boku's average striking offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Boku's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Boku has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Boku is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Boku is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Ishida 9.5
fighter Boku 8.2
Great takedowns by Ishida
5 takedowns Mar 08, 2009 vs Nakamura
7 takedowns Dec 31, 2007 vs Melendez
4 takedowns Jun 04, 2006 vs Aurelio

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ishida 6.7
fighter Boku 8.1
Great knockouts by Boku
Round 3 Oct 06, 2012 vs Moreira
Round 1 May 10, 2009 vs Ueda
Round 1 Mar 17, 2007 vs Latomaki

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ishida 6.7
fighter Boku 6.1
Great submissions by Ishida
Round 1 Sep 20, 2008 vs Wilcox
Round 1 Apr 02, 2006 vs Rodriguez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ishida 7.3
fighter Boku 7.8
Fast finishes by Boku
631 seconds Oct 06, 2012 vs Moreira
67 seconds Jul 16, 2012 vs Kochiwa
153 seconds Mar 17, 2007 vs Latomaki
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR2 DEC
DECX
1,5901,578
1,5381,630
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ishida
legend Boku
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus