UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Iwase vs Aoki

1,729

CageRank

WINNER
Aoki

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
95% chance Aoki
WILL WIN

2,254

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Shinya Aoki
Much better submission offense 9.9 vs 6.7 More than 45% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 7.4 More than 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission defense 9.8 vs 9.1 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 34 years vs 42 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Shigetoshi Iwase
Heavier hands 6.5 vs 6.1 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Aoki on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Iwase’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Shinya
Aoki
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aoki is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Aoki has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Aoki has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Iwase on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aoki’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Shigetoshi
Iwase
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Iwase is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Iwase is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Iwase is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aoki 6.1
fighter Iwase 6.5
Great knockouts by Iwase
Round 2 Dec 21, 2014 vs Tamura
Round 1 Feb 25, 2011 vs Watanabe
Round 2 Mar 22, 2004 vs Dogaki

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aoki 9.9
fighter Iwase 6.8
Great submissions by Aoki
Round 2 Dec 31, 2012 vs McKee
Round 1 Jul 10, 2010 vs Kawajiri
Round 1 Dec 31, 2008 vs Alvarez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aoki 9.4
fighter Iwase 7.4
Fast finishes by Aoki
324 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs McKee
113 seconds Jul 10, 2010 vs Kawajiri
92 seconds Dec 31, 2008 vs Alvarez
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 DQ
XR2 SUB
1,5141,702
1,4891,728
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aoki
legend Iwase
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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