UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Matsumoto vs Sasaki

1,556

CageRank

WINNER
Sasaki

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
90% chance Sasaki
WILL WIN

1,946

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Yuta Sasaki
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.4 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much taller 178 cm vs 165 cm Around 10% taller
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 7.2 Around 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.0 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger jaw 8.8 vs 7.7 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission defense 8.5 vs 7.4 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly heavier hands 7.0 vs 6.4 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 28 years vs 35 years 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Teruyuki Matsumoto
Much heavier 131 lbs vs 125 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Sasaki on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Matsumoto’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yuta
Sasaki
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sasaki has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Sasaki has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Sasaki is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Matsumoto on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sasaki’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Teruyuki
Matsumoto
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Matsumoto is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Matsumoto is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Matsumoto is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Sasaki 7.0
fighter Matsumoto 6.4
Great knockouts by Sasaki
Round 1 May 25, 2014 vs Gi Hong
Round 1 Jul 27, 2013 vs Yamamoto

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Sasaki 8.2
fighter Matsumoto 7.0
Great submissions by Sasaki
Round 1 Jan 13, 2014 vs Fujiwara
Round 1 Oct 05, 2013 vs Do Park
Round 1 Jun 30, 2012 vs Matsumoto

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Sasaki 8.6
fighter Matsumoto 7.4
Fast finishes by Sasaki
275 seconds Jan 13, 2014 vs Fujiwara
11 seconds Jul 27, 2013 vs Yamamoto
42 seconds Jun 30, 2012 vs Matsumoto
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XDEC
1,5841,747
1,5561,776
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Sasaki
legend Matsumoto
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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