UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Casimir vs Lamas

1,621

CageRank

WINNER
Lamas

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
94% chance Lamas
WILL WIN

2,112

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ricardo Lamas
Much heavier hands 8.0 vs 6.4 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.4 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
A lot taller 173 cm vs 165 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly better striker 8.4 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.5 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.7 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Longer reach 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Younger 35 years vs 37 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Bendy Casimir
Slightly stronger jaw 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Lamas on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Casimir’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ricardo
Lamas
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Lamas Casimir
Significant Strikes72
Lamas's average striking offense is matched by Casimir's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Lamas's average takedown offense is matched by Casimir's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lamas is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lamas is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lamas has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Casimir on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lamas’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Bendy
Casimir
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Casimir Lamas
Significant Strikes42
Casimir's average striking offense won't be a factor against Lamas's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Casimir's average takedown offense is matched by Lamas's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Casimir is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Casimir is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Casimir is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lamas 8.4
fighter Casimir 8.0
Great striking by Lamas
32 strikes Jan 26, 2013 vs Koch
36 strikes Jun 22, 2012 vs Hioki
9 strikes Mar 06, 2010 vs Casimir

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lamas 8.3
fighter Casimir 8.1
Great takedowns by Lamas
2 takedowns Jan 26, 2013 vs Koch
2 takedowns Nov 12, 2011 vs Swanson
4 takedowns Mar 01, 2009 vs Palaszewski

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lamas 8.0
fighter Casimir 6.4
Great knockouts by Lamas
Round 2 Jan 26, 2013 vs Koch
Round 1 Jun 26, 2011 vs Grice
Round 1 Mar 06, 2010 vs Casimir

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lamas 7.4
fighter Casimir 7.4
Great submissions by Casimir
Round 2 Mar 14, 2009 vs Puhakka
Round 3 Dec 15, 2007 vs Duncan
Round 1 Mar 31, 2007 vs Latoel

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lamas 8.1
fighter Casimir 7.4
Fast finishes by Lamas
452 seconds Jan 26, 2013 vs Koch
436 seconds Nov 12, 2011 vs Swanson
223 seconds Mar 06, 2010 vs Casimir
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 6, 2010WEC 47
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
R1 SUBX
1,9701,815
1,8991,886
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lamas
legend Casimir
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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