UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Baron vs Gomi

1,832

CageRank

WINNER
Gomi

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
74% chance Gomi
WILL WIN

2,012

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Takanori Gomi
Much heavier hands 8.4 vs 7.3 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much better takedown defense 8.7 vs 7.7 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 39 years vs 44 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 173 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for David Baron
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.0 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 8.2 vs 7.2 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Longer reach 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Gomi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Baron’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Takanori
Gomi
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Gomi Baron
Significant Strikes80
Gomi's good striking offense may be a factor against Baron's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Gomi's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Baron's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gomi has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gomi is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Gomi is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Baron on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gomi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
David
Baron
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Baron Gomi
Significant Strikes61
Baron's average striking offense is matched by Gomi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Baron's average takedown offense is matched by Gomi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Baron is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Baron has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Baron is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Gomi 8.9
fighter Baron 8.2
Great striking by Gomi
5 strikes Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
14 strikes Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida
35 strikes Sep 25, 2005 vs Kawajiri

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Gomi 8.4
fighter Baron 7.3
Great knockouts by Gomi
Round 2 Feb 26, 2012 vs Mitsuoka
Round 1 Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
Round 1 Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Gomi 7.0
fighter Baron 7.9
Great submissions by Baron
Round 1 May 03, 2008 vs Sakurai
Round 1 Feb 24, 2007 vs Ball
Round 2 Mar 12, 2005 vs Heilimo

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Gomi 8.2
fighter Baron 8.4
Fast finishes by Baron
290 seconds May 03, 2008 vs Sakurai
202 seconds Oct 20, 2007 vs Mohamed
453 seconds Mar 12, 2005 vs Heilimo
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 26, 2006Pride - Bushido 12
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR1 KO
1,8752,045
1,8472,072
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Gomi
legend Baron
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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