UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Baron vs Miller

1,832

CageRank

WINNER
Miller

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
82% chance Miller
WILL WIN

2,097

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jim Miller
Much better takedown defense 9.0 vs 7.7 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much better submission offense 8.9 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.3 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly younger 35 years vs 45 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 8.2 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better striker 8.4 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.2 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 173 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Slightly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Advantages for David Baron
Longer reach 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier hands 7.3 vs 7.1 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Miller on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Baron’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jim
Miller
In 11:33, how much damage will he do? Miller Baron
Significant Strikes48
Miller's average striking offense is matched by Baron's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:33
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Miller's average takedown offense may be a factor against Baron's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:33
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Miller is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Miller has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Miller is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Baron on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Miller’s defensive skills
Predictions For
David
Baron
In 11:33, how much damage will he do? Baron Miller
Significant Strikes40
Baron's average striking offense is matched by Miller's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:33
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Baron's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Miller's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:33
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Baron is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Baron is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Baron is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Miller 8.4
fighter Baron 8.2
Great striking by Miller
91 strikes Dec 29, 2012 vs Lauzon
4 strikes Jan 20, 2012 vs Guillard
15 strikes Oct 18, 2008 vs Baron

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Miller 8.6
fighter Baron 8.2
Great takedowns by Miller
1 takedown Jan 20, 2012 vs Guillard
1 takedown Dec 11, 2010 vs Oliveira
5 takedowns Oct 18, 2008 vs Baron

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Miller 7.1
fighter Baron 7.3
Great knockouts by Baron
Round 1 Oct 20, 2007 vs Mohamed
Round 1 Jun 09, 2007 vs Frachey
Round 2 Apr 08, 2006 vs Oganov

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Miller 8.9
fighter Baron 7.9
Great submissions by Miller
Round 1 Jan 20, 2012 vs Guillard
Round 1 Dec 11, 2010 vs Oliveira
Round 3 Oct 18, 2008 vs Baron

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Miller 8.7
fighter Baron 8.4
Fast finishes by Miller
184 seconds Jan 20, 2012 vs Guillard
119 seconds Dec 11, 2010 vs Oliveira
799 seconds Oct 18, 2008 vs Baron
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 18, 2008UFC 89
team
VS
team
XR3 SUB
R2 SUBX
2,0101,933
1,9491,994
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Miller
legend Baron
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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