UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cavalcante vs Gaethje

1,885

CageRank

WINNER
Gaethje

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
78% chance Gaethje
WILL WIN

2,109

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Justin Gaethje
Much heavier hands 9.7 vs 7.8 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
A lot taller 180 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 29 years vs 34 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 9.1 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Gesias Cavalcante
Significantly better submission offense 7.7 vs 6.6 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.6 vs 9.1 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Gaethje on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cavalcante’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Justin
Gaethje
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gaethje has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Gaethje is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gaethje is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Cavalcante on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gaethje’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gesias
Cavalcante
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cavalcante is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cavalcante is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cavalcante is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Gaethje 9.7
fighter Cavalcante 7.8
Great knockouts by Gaethje
Round 2 Oct 26, 2013 vs Lauzon
Round 3 Jun 14, 2013 vs Cobb
Round 1 Mar 23, 2013 vs Cavalcante

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Gaethje 6.6
fighter Cavalcante 7.7
Great submissions by Cavalcante
Round 1 Nov 03, 2012 vs O'Brien
Round 1 Sep 17, 2007 vs Amado
Round 1 Oct 09, 2006 vs Yahya

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Gaethje 8.8
fighter Cavalcante 8.3
Fast finishes by Gaethje
400 seconds Oct 26, 2013 vs Lauzon
739 seconds Jun 14, 2013 vs Cobb
147 seconds Mar 23, 2013 vs Cavalcante
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 23, 2013WSOF 2
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR1 KO
1,9341,936
1,8841,986
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Gaethje
legend Cavalcante
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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