UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Bielkheden vs Ishida

1,730

CageRank

WINNER
Ishida

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
64% chance Ishida
WILL WIN

1,833

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Mitsuhiro Ishida
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 7.9 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much stronger takedown offense 9.5 vs 8.4 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much harder to hit 9.3 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better submission offense 6.7 vs 6.3 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 8.2 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Advantages for David Bielkheden
Much stronger jaw 9.1 vs 7.9 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.7 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
A lot taller 178 cm vs 168 cm More than 5% taller
Longer reach 180 cm vs 170 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Puts up a fight 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 169 lbs vs 142 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly fast finishes 7.4 vs 7.3 Almost the same
Ishida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bielkheden’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mitsuhiro
Ishida
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Ishida Bielkheden
Significant Strikes55
Ishida's average striking offense is matched by Bielkheden's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns6
Ishida's excellent takedown offense will dominate Bielkheden's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ishida is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ishida is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ishida has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Bielkheden on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ishida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
David
Bielkheden
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Bielkheden Ishida
Significant Strikes31
Bielkheden's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Below average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Bielkheden's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bielkheden has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Bielkheden is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bielkheden is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Ishida 8.2
fighter Bielkheden 8.0
Great striking by Ishida
16 strikes Mar 08, 2009 vs Nakamura
8 strikes Dec 31, 2007 vs Melendez
29 strikes Jun 04, 2006 vs Aurelio

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Ishida 9.5
fighter Bielkheden 8.4
Great takedowns by Ishida
5 takedowns Mar 08, 2009 vs Nakamura
7 takedowns Dec 31, 2007 vs Melendez
4 takedowns Jun 04, 2006 vs Aurelio

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ishida 6.7
fighter Bielkheden 7.3
Great knockouts by Bielkheden
Round 2 May 29, 2010 vs Khamanaev
Round 1 Nov 28, 2009 vs Rasanen
Round 1 Mar 25, 2006 vs Dawson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ishida 6.7
fighter Bielkheden 6.3
Great submissions by Ishida
Round 1 Sep 20, 2008 vs Wilcox
Round 1 Apr 02, 2006 vs Rodriguez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ishida 7.3
fighter Bielkheden 7.4
Fast finishes by Bielkheden
417 seconds May 29, 2010 vs Khamanaev
186 seconds Nov 28, 2009 vs Rasanen
50 seconds Mar 25, 2006 vs Dawson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 5, 2006Pride - Bushido 13
team
VS
team
XR2 DEC
XDEC
1,6951,956
1,6761,974
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ishida
legend Bielkheden
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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