UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mitsuoka vs Gomi

1,846

CageRank

WINNER
Gomi

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
72% chance Gomi
WILL WIN

2,012

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Takanori Gomi
Much heavier hands 8.4 vs 6.6 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.0 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.1 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Longer reach 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Taller 173 cm vs 170 cm Almost the same
Slightly younger 39 years vs 41 years Around 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Eiji Mitsuoka
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 7.0 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 7.2 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Gomi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mitsuoka’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Takanori
Gomi
In 11:00, how much damage will he do? Gomi Mitsuoka
Significant Strikes66
Gomi's good striking offense may be a factor against Mitsuoka's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 99 Significant Strikes in 11:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Gomi's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Mitsuoka's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gomi has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Gomi is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gomi is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Mitsuoka on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gomi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Eiji
Mitsuoka
In 11:00, how much damage will he do? Mitsuoka Gomi
Significant Strikes41
Mitsuoka's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Gomi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 99 Significant Strikes in 11:00
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Mitsuoka's average takedown offense is matched by Gomi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mitsuoka is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mitsuoka has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Mitsuoka is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Gomi 8.9
fighter Mitsuoka 8.0
Great striking by Gomi
5 strikes Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
14 strikes Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida
35 strikes Sep 25, 2005 vs Kawajiri

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Gomi 7.2
fighter Mitsuoka 8.4
Great takedowns by Mitsuoka
3 takedowns Jul 16, 2011 vs Carvalho

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Gomi 8.4
fighter Mitsuoka 6.6
Great knockouts by Gomi
Round 2 Feb 26, 2012 vs Mitsuoka
Round 1 Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
Round 1 Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Gomi 7.0
fighter Mitsuoka 8.2
Great submissions by Mitsuoka
Round 1 Aug 02, 2009 vs French
Round 1 Jan 04, 2009 vs Golyaev
Round 1 Aug 24, 2008 vs Damm

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Gomi 8.2
fighter Mitsuoka 8.1
Fast finishes by Gomi
64 seconds Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
74 seconds Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida
462 seconds Sep 25, 2005 vs Kawajiri
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 26, 2012UFC 144
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
R1 SUBX
1,9421,936
1,8911,986
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Gomi
legend Mitsuoka
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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