UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Kitaoka vs Gomi

2,015

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Kitaoka

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
50% chance Kitaoka
WILL WIN

2,012

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Satoru Kitaoka
Much stronger takedown offense 8.2 vs 7.2 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better submission defense 9.9 vs 8.3 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.0 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 37 years vs 39 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Takanori Gomi
Much heavier hands 8.4 vs 5.4 Around 55% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.0 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.2 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 173 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Kitaoka on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gomi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Satoru
Kitaoka
In 13:06, how much damage will he do? Kitaoka Gomi
Significant Strikes47
Kitaoka's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Gomi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 118 Significant Strikes in 13:06
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Kitaoka's average takedown offense is matched by Gomi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 13:06
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kitaoka is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Kitaoka has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Kitaoka has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Gomi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kitaoka’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Takanori
Gomi
In 13:06, how much damage will he do? Gomi Kitaoka
Significant Strikes76
Gomi's good striking offense may be a factor against Kitaoka's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 118 Significant Strikes in 13:06
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Gomi's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Kitaoka's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 13:06
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gomi has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Gomi is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gomi is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Kitaoka 8.0
fighter Gomi 8.9
Great striking by Gomi
5 strikes Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
14 strikes Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida
35 strikes Sep 25, 2005 vs Kawajiri

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Kitaoka 8.3
fighter Gomi 7.2
Great takedowns by Kitaoka
2 takedowns Sep 24, 2011 vs Freire

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Kitaoka 5.4
fighter Gomi 8.4
Great knockouts by Gomi
Round 2 Feb 26, 2012 vs Mitsuoka
Round 1 Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
Round 1 Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Kitaoka 8.1
fighter Gomi 7.0
Great submissions by Kitaoka
Round 1 Jan 04, 2009 vs Gomi
Round 1 Nov 01, 2008 vs Mitsuoka
Round 1 Aug 24, 2008 vs French

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Kitaoka 8.1
fighter Gomi 8.2
Fast finishes by Gomi
64 seconds Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
74 seconds Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida
462 seconds Sep 25, 2005 vs Kawajiri
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 4, 2009Sengoku - No Ran 2009
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XDEC
2,0462,073
2,1002,019
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Kitaoka
legend Gomi
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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