UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Kitaoka vs Brooks

2,015

CageRank

WINNER
Brooks

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
61% chance Brooks
WILL WIN

2,096

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Will Brooks
Much heavier hands 7.8 vs 5.4 Around 45% better at knocking out good defenders
Much taller 180 cm vs 168 cm Around 10% taller
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Younger 30 years vs 37 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Advantages for Satoru Kitaoka
Significantly better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better submission defense 9.9 vs 9.0 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 9.1 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Brooks on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kitaoka’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Will
Brooks
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Brooks Kitaoka
Significant Strikes76
Brooks's average striking offense is matched by Kitaoka's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Brooks's average takedown offense is matched by Kitaoka's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brooks has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Brooks is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Brooks has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Kitaoka on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brooks’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Satoru
Kitaoka
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Kitaoka Brooks
Significant Strikes46
Kitaoka's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Brooks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Kitaoka's average takedown offense is matched by Brooks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kitaoka is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Kitaoka has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Kitaoka has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Brooks 8.6
fighter Kitaoka 8.0
Great striking by Brooks
55 strikes Dec 31, 2012 vs Kitaoka

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Brooks 8.7
fighter Kitaoka 8.3
Great takedowns by Brooks
2 takedowns Dec 31, 2012 vs Kitaoka

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Brooks 7.8
fighter Kitaoka 5.4
Great knockouts by Brooks
Round 3 Jul 31, 2013 vs Leyva
Round 2 Dec 31, 2012 vs Kitaoka
Round 1 Jun 16, 2012 vs Bogguess

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Brooks 7.4
fighter Kitaoka 8.1
Great submissions by Kitaoka
Round 1 Jan 04, 2009 vs Gomi
Round 1 Nov 01, 2008 vs Mitsuoka
Round 1 Aug 24, 2008 vs French

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Brooks 7.6
fighter Kitaoka 8.1
Fast finishes by Kitaoka
101 seconds Jan 04, 2009 vs Gomi
76 seconds Nov 01, 2008 vs Mitsuoka
31 seconds Aug 24, 2008 vs French
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 31, 2012Dream 18
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
DECX
2,0881,801
2,0041,885
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Brooks
legend Kitaoka
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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