UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Dillashaw vs Watson

1,994

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Dillashaw

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
86% chance Dillashaw
WILL WIN

1,683

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for T.J. Dillashaw
Much stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 7.7 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 6.8 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 134 lbs vs 133 lbs Almost the same
Better submission defense 8.6 vs 8.0 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 31 years vs 33 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Walel Watson
Much taller 180 cm vs 168 cm Around 10% taller
Better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Dillashaw on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Watson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
T.J.
Dillashaw
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Dillashaw Watson
Significant Strikes77
Dillashaw's good striking offense may be a factor against Watson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Dillashaw's good takedown offense may be a factor against Watson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dillashaw has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Dillashaw is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Dillashaw has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Watson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dillashaw’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Walel
Watson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Watson Dillashaw
Significant Strikes53
Watson's average striking offense is matched by Dillashaw's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Watson's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Dillashaw's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Watson is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Watson has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Watson is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Dillashaw 8.7
fighter Watson 8.2
Great striking by Dillashaw
117 strikes Jan 15, 2014 vs Easton
21 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Viana
85 strikes Feb 15, 2012 vs Watson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Dillashaw 9.1
fighter Watson 7.7
Great takedowns by Dillashaw
2 takedowns Jan 15, 2014 vs Easton
1 takedown Apr 20, 2013 vs Viana
2 takedowns Mar 16, 2013 vs Tamura

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Dillashaw 8.2
fighter Watson 6.8
Great knockouts by Dillashaw
Round 1 Apr 20, 2013 vs Viana
Round 2 Mar 16, 2013 vs Tamura
Round 3 Nov 20, 2010 vs McCorriston

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Dillashaw 7.5
fighter Watson 8.0
Great submissions by Watson
Round 1 Jun 25, 2011 vs Leon
Round 1 Jul 17, 2010 vs Gustina
Round 2 Nov 28, 2009 vs Monroy

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Dillashaw 8.1
fighter Watson 7.8
Fast finishes by Dillashaw
262 seconds Apr 20, 2013 vs Viana
153 seconds Jul 11, 2012 vs Lee
667 seconds Nov 20, 2010 vs McCorriston
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 15, 2012UFC on Fuel TV 1
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XR2 SUB
1,6651,753
1,7281,691
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Dillashaw
legend Watson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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