UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Dillashaw vs Lee

1,994

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Dillashaw

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
79% chance Dillashaw
WILL WIN

1,768

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for T.J. Dillashaw
Much better takedown defense 9.1 vs 7.6 Around 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Much stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 7.7 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 6.8 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better submission defense 8.6 vs 7.8 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 8.0 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 31 years vs 35 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Taller 168 cm vs 165 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Vaughan Lee
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Dillashaw on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lee’s defensive skills
Predictions For
T.J.
Dillashaw
In 9:21, how much damage will he do? Dillashaw Lee
Significant Strikes39
Dillashaw's good striking offense is matched by Lee's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 84 Significant Strikes in 9:21
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Dillashaw's good takedown offense may be a factor against Lee's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:21
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dillashaw has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Dillashaw has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Dillashaw is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Lee on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dillashaw’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vaughan
Lee
In 9:21, how much damage will he do? Lee Dillashaw
Significant Strikes40
Lee's average striking offense is matched by Dillashaw's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 84 Significant Strikes in 9:21
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lee's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Dillashaw's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:21
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lee is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Lee is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lee is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Dillashaw 8.7
fighter Lee 8.5
Great striking by Dillashaw
117 strikes Jan 15, 2014 vs Easton
21 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Viana
85 strikes Feb 15, 2012 vs Watson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Dillashaw 9.1
fighter Lee 7.7
Great takedowns by Dillashaw
2 takedowns Jan 15, 2014 vs Easton
1 takedown Apr 20, 2013 vs Viana
2 takedowns Mar 16, 2013 vs Tamura

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Dillashaw 8.2
fighter Lee 6.8
Great knockouts by Dillashaw
Round 1 Apr 20, 2013 vs Viana
Round 2 Mar 16, 2013 vs Tamura
Round 3 Nov 20, 2010 vs McCorriston

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Dillashaw 7.5
fighter Lee 7.6
Great submissions by Lee
Round 1 Feb 26, 2012 vs Yamamoto
Round 1 Apr 03, 2010 vs McCombe
Round 3 Dec 13, 2008 vs Chen

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Dillashaw 8.1
fighter Lee 7.7
Fast finishes by Dillashaw
262 seconds Apr 20, 2013 vs Viana
153 seconds Jul 11, 2012 vs Lee
667 seconds Nov 20, 2010 vs McCorriston
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 11, 2012UFC on Fuel TV 4
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XR2 SUB
1,7281,732
1,7781,681
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Dillashaw
legend Lee
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus