UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Monma vs Kitaoka

1,630

CageRank

WINNER
Kitaoka

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
90% chance Kitaoka
WILL WIN

2,015

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Satoru Kitaoka
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.1 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 8.2 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.9 vs 9.1 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 37 years vs 43 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Harder to hit 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Better takedown defense 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Advantages for Hidetaka Monma
Much taller 183 cm vs 168 cm Around 10% taller
Significantly better striker 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly heavier hands 6.1 vs 5.4 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Slightly stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Kitaoka on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Monma’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Satoru
Kitaoka
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Kitaoka Monma
Significant Strikes62
Kitaoka's below average striking offense is matched by Monma's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Below average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Kitaoka's average takedown offense is matched by Monma's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kitaoka is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Kitaoka has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Kitaoka has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Monma on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kitaoka’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Hidetaka
Monma
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Monma Kitaoka
Significant Strikes68
Monma's average striking offense is matched by Kitaoka's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Monma's average takedown offense is matched by Kitaoka's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Monma is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Monma has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Monma is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Kitaoka 5.4
fighter Monma 6.1
Great knockouts by Monma
Round 1 Jun 11, 2005 vs Strasser
Round 1 Jul 28, 2002 vs Kitaoka

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Kitaoka 8.1
fighter Monma 8.2
Great submissions by Monma
Round 1 Mar 17, 2007 vs Tulirinta
Round 1 Mar 12, 2005 vs Lavender
Round 1 Oct 12, 2004 vs Ito

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Kitaoka 8.1
fighter Monma 8.0
Fast finishes by Kitaoka
101 seconds Jan 04, 2009 vs Gomi
76 seconds Nov 01, 2008 vs Mitsuoka
31 seconds Aug 24, 2008 vs French
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
DECX
1,6301,606
1,6761,559
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Kitaoka
legend Monma
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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