UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Weidman vs Branch

2,260

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Weidman

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
75% chance Weidman
WILL WIN

2,069

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chris Weidman
Fast finishes 9.1 vs 7.9 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly heavier hands 8.7 vs 7.5 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 8.9 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Harder to hit 9.3 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 33 years vs 36 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for David Branch
From what we can tell, Chris Weidman dominates David Branch in every way.
Weidman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Branch’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Weidman
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Weidman Branch
Significant Strikes57
Weidman's good striking offense is matched by Branch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Weidman's excellent takedown offense will dominate Branch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Weidman has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Weidman is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Weidman has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Branch on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Weidman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
David
Branch
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Branch Weidman
Significant Strikes31
Branch's average striking offense won't be a factor against Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Branch's good takedown offense is matched by Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Branch is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Branch is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Branch has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Weidman 8.7
fighter Branch 8.1
Great striking by Weidman
20 strikes Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
16 strikes Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
58 strikes Jan 28, 2012 vs Maia

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Weidman 9.6
fighter Branch 8.9
Great takedowns by Weidman
1 takedown Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
1 takedown Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
4 takedowns Jan 28, 2012 vs Maia

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Weidman 8.7
fighter Branch 7.5
Great knockouts by Weidman
Round 2 Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
Round 2 Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
Round 2 Jul 11, 2012 vs Munoz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Weidman 7.8
fighter Branch 7.5
Great submissions by Weidman
Round 1 Nov 19, 2011 vs Lawlor
Round 1 Jun 11, 2011 vs Bongfeldt
Round 1 Feb 20, 2009 vs Lopes

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Weidman 9.1
fighter Branch 7.9
Fast finishes by Weidman
376 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
378 seconds Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
397 seconds Jul 11, 2012 vs Munoz
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Weidman
legend Branch
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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