UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Weidman vs Jones

2,260

CageRank

WINNER
Jones

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
66% chance Jones
WILL WIN

2,377

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jon Jones
Better striker 9.6 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 9.9 vs 9.1 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly longer reach 215 cm vs 198 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better submission offense 8.2 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Harder to hit 9.6 vs 9.3 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger jaw 9.7 vs 9.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 193 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 29 years vs 33 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.4 Almost the same
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Chris Weidman
Heavier hands 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Fast finishes 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 9.4 Almost the same
Jones on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Weidman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jon
Jones
In 11:32, how much damage will he do? Jones Weidman
Significant Strikes62
Jones's excellent striking offense is matched by Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:32
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Jones's excellent takedown offense will dominate Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:32
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Weidman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jones’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Weidman
In 11:32, how much damage will he do? Weidman Jones
Significant Strikes33
Weidman's good striking offense won't be a factor against Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:32
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Weidman's excellent takedown offense is matched by Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:32
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Weidman has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Weidman is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Weidman has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Jones 9.6
fighter Weidman 8.7
Great striking by Jones
20 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
105 strikes Apr 21, 2012 vs Evans
61 strikes Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Jones 9.4
fighter Weidman 9.6
Great takedowns by Weidman
1 takedown Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
1 takedown Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
4 takedowns Jan 28, 2012 vs Maia

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Jones 8.6
fighter Weidman 8.7
Great knockouts by Weidman
Round 2 Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
Round 2 Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
Round 2 Jul 11, 2012 vs Munoz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Jones 8.2
fighter Weidman 7.8
Great submissions by Jones
Round 4 Sep 22, 2012 vs Belfort
Round 2 Dec 10, 2011 vs Machida
Round 4 Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Jones 8.9
fighter Weidman 9.1
Fast finishes by Weidman
376 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
378 seconds Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
397 seconds Jul 11, 2012 vs Munoz
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Jones
legend Weidman
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 15 comments.
Here we are. November 26th 2016. Looks like Weidman is now on a losing streak. Pathetic. Knew he was overrated
You did say it and it was a direct quote of "Yeah." Stop being a coward and start owning up to when your results no matter what, even if your wrong buddy.
I wasn't saying Weidman would win dummy. I was responding to his comment when he said Weidman would beat Jones
but what do I know, your such a genius when you talk about weidman.
stupid little kid
but what do I know, your the genius that said yeah to that stupid little twat that I sent packing all because you thought weidman could beat jones. Stupid little twats!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! That is two pat rack, niggers who I sent packing.
Can't argue with people like you. Discrediting a fighter because he lost one fight. Sloppy weidman lol.
Silva had a diminished chin because of age. Sloppy Weidman couldn't KO anybody else standing but SIlva? Nah he got old
You could say that for a lot of ufc champs though. Also, don't write somebody off after one loss. If rockhold beats him again maybe you have a point. However even then I feel it would just show how good rockhold is, and not how bad weidman is. Don't forget weidman beat a silva who was just coming off several ko wins and dominating the division. He also beat belfort who was 2 fights out from murdering rockhold.
Weidman was overrated. He beat a bunch of old men. Definitely a product of good timing
Man, I thought I saw something in weidman. He disappointed me tonight man. I retract this statement.
Jon jones is the youngest ufc champion ever, number two pound for pound fighter and the ufc light heavyweight champion. DAniel cormier is eight years older then jon bones jones. Cormier needs to retire before he gets killed by bones and jones has a ten inch reach. I mean, obivously jon jones will beat cormier, beat anthony johnson and ryan bader and weidman and werdum
NO
Yeah but does anybody really believe that though
When this fight happens, and it 100% will, Weidman will win. I am predicting it now. Many people will overlook weidman and they will be wrong, but I will be here to say I told you so.
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