UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Weidman vs Belfort

2,260

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Weidman

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
56% chance Weidman
WILL WIN

2,220

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chris Weidman
Much stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 7.5 More than 25% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly longer reach 198 cm vs 188 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better submission offense 7.7 vs 6.9 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 32 years vs 39 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Vitor Belfort
Significantly heavier hands 10.0 vs 8.7 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 10.0 vs 9.1 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly harder to hit 9.8 vs 9.3 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better striker 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.6 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.4 Almost the same
Slightly better takedown defense 9.2 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Weidman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Belfort’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Weidman
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Weidman Belfort
Significant Strikes36
Weidman's good striking offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Weidman's excellent takedown offense is matched by Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Weidman has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Weidman is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Weidman has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Belfort on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Weidman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vitor
Belfort
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Belfort Weidman
Significant Strikes66
Belfort's excellent striking offense is matched by Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Belfort's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Belfort has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Belfort is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Belfort is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Weidman 8.7
fighter Belfort 9.2
Great striking by Belfort
12 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
18 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
6 strikes Jan 24, 2009 vs Lindland

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Weidman 9.6
fighter Belfort 7.6
Great takedowns by Weidman
1 takedown Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
1 takedown Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
4 takedowns Jan 28, 2012 vs Maia

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Weidman 8.7
fighter Belfort 10.0
Great knockouts by Belfort
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 2 Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Weidman 7.8
fighter Belfort 6.9
Great submissions by Weidman
Round 1 Nov 19, 2011 vs Lawlor
Round 1 Jun 11, 2011 vs Bongfeldt
Round 1 Feb 20, 2009 vs Lopes

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Weidman 9.1
fighter Belfort 10.0
Fast finishes by Belfort
77 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
387 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
182 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 23, 2015UFC 187
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Weidman
legend Belfort
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 4 comments.
"9.6 vs 9.4 Almost the same " Um, what is almost the same?
I hope Weidman wins because he is undefeated and fresher face
I hope Belfort wins by brutal KO.
Vitor by K.O.
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